Wells Mike, Goldstein Lara
Division of Emergency Medicine Faculty of Health Sciences University of the Witwatersrand Parktown Johannesburg South Africa.
J Am Coll Emerg Physicians Open. 2020 May 22;1(5):947-954. doi: 10.1002/emp2.12099. eCollection 2020 Oct.
In obese children, when drug therapy is required during emergency care, an estimation of ideal body weight is required for certain drug dose calculations. Some experts have previously speculated that age-based weight estimation formulas could be used to predict ideal body weight. The objectives of this study were to evaluate how accurately age-based formulas could predict ideal body weight and total body weight in obese children.
Three age-based weight estimation formulas were evaluated in a secondary analysis, using a pooled sample of children from 3 academic emergency departments in South Africa. The estimates produced by the 3 formulas (and the PAWPER XL tape as a control) were compared against measured total body weight and ideal body weight. The percentages of estimates falling within 10% of the standard weight were used as the primary outcome measure (PW10).
This study included 1026 children. For ideal body weight estimations in obese children, the old Advanced Life Support formula, the new Advanced Life Support formula, and the Best Guess formula achieved PW10s (with 95% confidence intervals [CIs]) of 29% (27.2%, 30.8%), 41.4% (38.9%, 43.9%), and 48.3% (45.3%, 51.3%), respectively. For total body weight estimations, the formulas achieved PW10s of 3.6% (3.4%, 3.8%), 5.2% (4.9%, 5.5%), and 19.0% (17.8%, 20.2%). The PAWPER XL tape achieved an accuracy of ideal body weight estimation of 100% (93.9%, 100%) and total body weight estimation of 49.7% (46.7%, 52.7%) in obese children.
The age-based formulas were substantially less accurate at estimating total body weight and ideal body weight than existing length-based methods such as the PAWPER XL tape, and should not be used for this purpose.
在肥胖儿童的急诊治疗中,若需要药物治疗,某些药物剂量计算需要估算理想体重。一些专家此前推测,基于年龄的体重估算公式可用于预测理想体重。本研究的目的是评估基于年龄的公式预测肥胖儿童理想体重和总体重的准确性。
在一项二次分析中,使用来自南非3个学术急诊科的儿童汇总样本,对3个基于年龄的体重估算公式进行了评估。将这3个公式(以及作为对照的PAWPER XL卷尺)得出的估算值与测量的总体重和理想体重进行比较。落在标准体重10%范围内的估算值百分比用作主要结局指标(PW10)。
本研究纳入了1026名儿童。对于肥胖儿童的理想体重估算,旧的高级生命支持公式、新的高级生命支持公式和最佳猜测公式的PW10(95%置信区间[CI])分别为29%(27.2%,30.8%)、41.4%(38.9%,43.9%)和48.3%(45.3%,51.3%)。对于总体重估算,这些公式的PW10分别为3.6%(3.4%,3.8%)、5.2%(4.9%,5.5%)和19.0%(17.8%,20.2%)。PAWPER XL卷尺在肥胖儿童理想体重估算中的准确率为100%(93.9%,100%),在总体重估算中的准确率为49.7%(46.7%)。
基于年龄的公式在估算总体重和理想体重方面远不如现有的基于身高的方法(如PAWPER XL卷尺)准确,不应为此目的使用。