Halmos College of Arts and Sciences, Nova Southeastern University, Dania Beach, FL, USA.
University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA.
Sci Rep. 2020 Nov 4;10(1):19057. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-76226-8.
Despite significant improvement in computational and observational capabilities, predicting intensity and intensification of major tropical cyclones remains a challenge. In 2017 Hurricane Maria intensified to a Category 5 storm within 24 h, devastating Puerto Rico. In 2019 Hurricane Dorian, predicted to remain tropical storm, unexpectedly intensified into a Category 5 storm and destroyed the Bahamas. The official forecast and computer models were unable to predict rapid intensification of these storms. One possible reason for this is that key physics, including microscale processes at the air-sea interface, are poorly understood and parameterized in existing forecast models. Here we show that surfactants significantly affect the generation of sea spray, which provides some of the fuel for tropical cyclones and their intensification, but also provides some of the drag that limits intensity and intensification. Using a numerical model verified with a laboratory experiment, which predicts spray radii distribution starting from a 100 μm radius, we show that surfactants increase spray generation by 20-34%. We anticipate that bio-surfactants affect heat, energy, and momentum exchange through altered size distribution and concentration of sea spray, with consequences for tropical cyclone intensification or decline, particularly in areas of algal blooms and near coral reefs, as well as in areas affected by oil spills and dispersants.
尽管在计算和观测能力方面取得了重大进展,但预测主要热带气旋的强度和加强仍然是一个挑战。2017 年,飓风玛丽亚在 24 小时内增强为 5 级风暴,摧毁了波多黎各。2019 年,预测为热带风暴的飓风多里安出人意料地增强为 5 级风暴,并摧毁了巴哈马群岛。官方预测和计算机模型都无法预测这些风暴的快速增强。造成这种情况的一个可能原因是,关键物理学,包括空气-海界面的微观尺度过程,在现有的预测模型中理解和参数化程度很差。在这里,我们表明表面活性剂会显著影响海雾的产生,海雾为热带气旋及其加强提供了一些燃料,但也提供了一些限制强度和加强的阻力。我们使用经过实验室实验验证的数值模型,该模型可以从 100μm 半径开始预测喷雾半径分布,结果表明表面活性剂会使喷雾生成增加 20-34%。我们预计生物表面活性剂会通过改变海雾的大小分布和浓度来影响热量、能量和动量交换,从而对热带气旋的加强或减弱产生影响,特别是在藻类大量繁殖和珊瑚礁附近以及受溢油和分散剂影响的地区。