CNRS - Station d'Ecologie Théorique et Expérimentale, 2 route du CNRS, 09200 Moulis, France.
Sci Total Environ. 2021 Apr 1;763:142981. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142981. Epub 2020 Oct 16.
Within a global society there exist various land use patterns, inequality, and the movement of people and goods. The various practices and behaviours associated with our current society raise questions about the future sustainability of the human population and the natural environment. We derive a simplified model of the global socio-ecological system in an effort to explore the connections between human well-being and land resources, specifically looking at resource accessibility, conservation initiatives and human migration between two economically diverse regions. We find that the spatial aspect of a global system with two distinct regions allows for faster development of technology, higher peaks in population size, greater natural land degradation, and generally speaking lower population well-being in the long-term. The unequal access to resources and differences in technological progress, alter the outcome of land management (i.e., conservation) and social behaviours (i.e., migration). We conclude that any socio-ecological management practices should be conscientious of the diversity in land access, population size, population well-being and development within the global society, as the potential for unintended consequences is high.
在全球社会中，存在着各种土地利用模式、不平等现象以及人口和货物的流动。与我们当前社会相关的各种实践和行为引发了关于人类人口和自然环境未来可持续性的问题。我们得出了一个简化的全球社会生态系统模型，以探讨人类福祉与土地资源之间的联系，特别是关注资源的可及性、保护倡议以及两个经济多样化地区之间的人口迁移。我们发现，具有两个不同地区的全球系统的空间方面允许更快地发展技术，人口规模达到更高峰值，更大程度的自然土地退化，并且从长期来看，一般来说，人口福祉更低。资源获取的不平等和技术进步的差异改变了土地管理（即保护）和社会行为（即迁移）的结果。我们得出结论，任何社会生态管理实践都应该意识到全球社会中土地利用、人口规模、人口福祉和发展的多样性，因为存在着产生意外后果的高风险。
