Bichay Nicolas
Department of Political Science, Michigan State University, 368 Farm Lane, 303 South Kedzie Hall, East Lansing, MI, 48824, USA.
Soc Sci Med. 2020 Nov;265:113454. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2020.113454. Epub 2020 Nov 5.
A growing literature in comparative political economy and health economics has argued several cost-saving effects of a single-payer healthcare system. Despite this growing evidence, there has been no large-scale empirical examination of whether such an effect exists cross-nationally over time. This paper serves as the first attempt to find and calculate the extent to which healthcare spending is affected by the utilization of a single-payer scheme. I introduce an original dataset for OECD countries that measures when and where systems that qualify as single-payer exist, and employ it to test whether significant differences exist in health expenditures. Results demonstrate a significant difference between single- and multi-payer system expenditures. I estimate the utilization of a single-payer system is associated with decreased expenditure equal to 0.750 percentage-points of a nation's GDP. This would equate to the United States saving well over $1.5 trillion over ten years.
比较政治经济学和卫生经济学领域越来越多的文献认为,单一支付者医疗体系具有若干成本节约效应。尽管有越来越多的证据支持这一点,但一直没有对这种效应是否会随着时间的推移在跨国层面存在进行大规模实证检验。本文首次尝试找出并计算单一支付者计划的使用对医疗支出的影响程度。我引入了一个针对经合组织国家的原始数据集,该数据集衡量符合单一支付者条件的体系在何时何地存在,并利用它来检验卫生支出是否存在显著差异。结果表明,单一支付者体系和多支付者体系的支出之间存在显著差异。我估计,单一支付者体系的使用与支出减少相关,减少幅度相当于一个国家国内生产总值的0.750个百分点。这相当于美国在十年内节省超过1.5万亿美元。