Department of Social Sciences, IQRA University (Islamabad Campus) 05 Khayaban-E-Johar, H-9, Islamabad, Pakistan.
Department of Economics, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, University of Central Punjab (UCP) Avenue 1, Khayaban-e-Jinnah Road, Johar Town, Lahore, Pakistan.
J Environ Manage. 2021 Feb 1;279:111569. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111569. Epub 2020 Nov 13.
Although Asian economies have registered strong economic growth over the last few decades, their growing pollution emissions raise concerns among the policymakers about the sustainability of this output growth. This paper tests the causal relationship between economic development, energy consumption, trade openness, financial development, FDI, government expenditures, institutional quality. and pollution emissions for 41 Asian economies from 1996 to 2015. Further, we separately test the impact of political and economic institutions on pollution emissions of the sample economies. Our estimated outcomes, based on the panel cointegration method and panel vector error correction models (VECM), substantiate the presence of a cointegration relationship among all the selected variables. While economic development, energy use, trade openness, and FDI augment environmental degradation, financial development and better economic institutions help the selected countries in reducing their pollution emissions. Moreover, better economic and political institutions also mediate the adverse impact of income, trade openness, and FDI on pollution emissions. The VECM model shows that per capita GDP is the only variable having a causal effect on pollution emissions in all the models. For all the other variables, the causal effect is significant only in a few cases. These outcomes have some important policy recommendations for the sample economies.
尽管亚洲经济体在过去几十年中实现了强劲的经济增长,但它们不断增加的污染排放引起了政策制定者对这种产出增长可持续性的关注。本文检验了 1996 年至 2015 年期间 41 个亚洲经济体经济发展、能源消费、贸易开放、金融发展、外国直接投资、政府支出、制度质量与污染排放之间的因果关系。此外,我们还分别检验了政治和经济制度对样本经济体污染排放的影响。我们基于面板协整方法和面板向量误差修正模型(VECM)的估计结果证实了所选变量之间存在协整关系。经济发展、能源利用、贸易开放和外国直接投资增加了环境恶化,而金融发展和更好的经济制度有助于所选国家减少污染排放。此外,更好的经济和政治制度也减轻了收入、贸易开放和外国直接投资对污染排放的不利影响。VECM 模型表明,人均国内生产总值是所有模型中唯一一个对污染排放具有因果关系的变量。对于所有其他变量,因果关系仅在少数情况下是显著的。这些结果为样本经济体提供了一些重要的政策建议。