揭示世界上污染最严重国家的空气污染对健康造成的影响。

Unveiling the health consequences of air pollution in the world's most polluted nations.

机构信息

School of Business, University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, QLD, 4350, Australia.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Apr 29;14(1):9856. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-60786-0.

Abstract

Air pollution poses a persuasive threat to global health, demonstrating widespread detrimental effects on populations worldwide. Exposure to pollutants, notably particulate matter with a diameter of 2.5 µm (PM), has been unequivocally linked to a spectrum of adverse health outcomes. A nuanced understanding of the relationship between them is crucial for implementing effective policies. This study employs a comprehensive investigation, utilizing the extended health production function framework alongside the system generalized method of moments (SGMM) technique, to scrutinize the interplay between air pollution and health outcomes. Focusing on a panel of the top twenty polluted nations from 2000 to 2021, the findings yield substantial insights. Notably, PM concentration emerges as a significant factor, correlating with a reduction in life expectancy by 3.69 years and an increase in infant mortality rates by 0.294%. Urbanization is found to increase life expectancy by 0.083 years while concurrently decreasing infant mortality rates by 0.00022%. An increase in real per capita gross domestic product corresponds with an improvement in life expectancy by 0.21 years and a decrease in infant mortality rates by 0.00065%. Similarly, an elevated school enrollment rate is associated with a rise in life expectancy by 0.17 years and a decline in infant mortality rates by 0.00032%. However, a higher population growth rate is found to modestly decrease life expectancy by 0.019 years and slightly elevate infant mortality rates by 0.000016%. The analysis reveals that per capita greenhouse gas emissions exert a negative impact, diminishing life expectancy by 0.486 years and elevating infant mortality rates by 0.00061%, while per capita energy consumption marginally reduces life expectancy by 0.026 years and increases infant mortality rates by 0.00004%. Additionally, economic volatility shock presents a notable decrement in life expectancy by 0.041 years and an increase in infant mortality rates by 0.000045%, with inflationary shock further exacerbating adverse health outcomes by lowering life expectancy by 0.70 years and elevating infant mortality rates by 0.00025%. Moreover, the study scrutinizes the role of institutional quality, revealing a constructive impact on health outcomes. Specifically, the institutional quality index is associated with an increase in life expectancy by 0.66% and a decrease in infant mortality rates by 0.0006%. Extending the analysis to examine the nuanced dimensions of institutional quality, the findings discern that economic institutions wield a notably stronger positive influence on health outcomes compared to political and institutional governance indices. Finally, the results underscore the pivotal moderating role of institutional quality in mitigating the deleterious impact of PM concentration on health outcomes, counterbalancing the influence of external shocks, and improving the relationships between explanatory variables and health outcome indicators. These findings offer critical insights for guiding evidence-based policy implications, with a focus on fostering resilient, sustainable, and health-conscious societies.

摘要

空气污染对全球健康构成了有力威胁,对世界范围内的人口产生了广泛的有害影响。暴露于污染物,特别是直径为 2.5 µm(PM)的颗粒物,与一系列不良健康后果明确相关。深入了解它们之间的关系对于实施有效的政策至关重要。本研究采用综合调查,利用扩展的健康生产函数框架和系统广义矩方法(SGMM)技术,研究空气污染与健康结果之间的相互作用。研究关注 2000 年至 2021 年期间排名前 20 的污染国家的面板数据,得出了大量有价值的发现。值得注意的是,PM 浓度是一个重要因素,与预期寿命缩短 3.69 年和婴儿死亡率上升 0.294%相关。城市化被发现使预期寿命延长 0.083 年,同时使婴儿死亡率降低 0.00022%。实际人均国内生产总值的增加对应于预期寿命提高 0.21 年和婴儿死亡率降低 0.00065%。同样,更高的入学率与预期寿命提高 0.17 年和婴儿死亡率降低 0.00032%相关。然而,人口增长率的提高适度降低了预期寿命 0.019 年,略微提高了婴儿死亡率 0.000016%。分析表明,人均温室气体排放产生负面影响,使预期寿命缩短 0.486 年,婴儿死亡率升高 0.00061%,而人均能源消耗则使预期寿命缩短 0.026 年,婴儿死亡率升高 0.00004%。此外,经济波动冲击使预期寿命缩短 0.041 年,婴儿死亡率升高 0.000045%,通货膨胀冲击通过使预期寿命缩短 0.70 年和婴儿死亡率升高 0.00025%,进一步加剧了不良健康后果。此外,该研究还考察了制度质量的作用,发现其对健康结果具有积极影响。具体而言,制度质量指数与预期寿命延长 0.66%和婴儿死亡率降低 0.0006%相关。通过进一步分析制度质量的细微维度,研究结果发现,经济制度对健康结果的积极影响明显强于政治和制度治理指数。最后,研究结果强调了制度质量在减轻 PM 浓度对健康结果的有害影响、平衡外部冲击的影响以及改善解释变量与健康结果指标之间关系方面的关键调节作用。这些发现为指导基于证据的政策建议提供了重要的见解,重点是促进有弹性、可持续和关注健康的社会。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/555b/11058277/e19ffff58deb/41598_2024_60786_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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