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信息通信技术和全要素生产率对十大新兴市场经济体中一氧化碳排放的影响。

The effect of information and communication technologies and total factor productivity on CO emissions in top 10 emerging market economies.

作者信息

Altinoz Buket, Vasbieva Dinara, Kalugina Olga

机构信息

Vocational School, Accounting and Tax Practices, Nisantasi University, Istanbul, Turkey.

Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, 49 Leningradsky Prospect, Moscow, Russia, 125993.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Dec;28(45):63784-63793. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-11630-1. Epub 2020 Nov 17.

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to investigate the nexus among information and communication technologies (ICT), total factor productivity (TFP), and carbon dioxide (CO) emissions in the top 10 emerging market economies for the period from 1995 to 2014 using the panel vector autoregressive (PVAR) approach. Analysis results suggest that the internet usage and fixed telephone subscriptions have a positive impact on environmental pollution, although mobile cellular subscriptions and TFP have a negative impact on carbon emissions. According to causality test results, there is bidirectional causality between CO and all independent variables. Consequently, the results justified the use of TFP instead of GDP as an indicator of the economic development and the importance of ICT in environmental problems since ICT has proven to be undeniable in environmental policies. Thus, possible policies prioritize environmental sustainability in the digitalization of the economy, which ensures both a pollution-reducing effect and an increase in TFP.

摘要

本文旨在运用面板向量自回归(PVAR)方法,研究1995年至2014年期间十大新兴市场经济体中信息通信技术(ICT)、全要素生产率(TFP)和二氧化碳(CO)排放之间的关系。分析结果表明,互联网使用和固定电话订阅对环境污染有积极影响,而移动蜂窝订阅和全要素生产率对碳排放有负面影响。根据因果关系检验结果,CO与所有自变量之间存在双向因果关系。因此,研究结果证明了使用全要素生产率而非国内生产总值作为经济发展指标的合理性,以及ICT在环境问题中的重要性,因为ICT在环境政策中已被证明具有不可忽视的作用。因此,可能的政策应在经济数字化过程中优先考虑环境可持续性,这既能确保减少污染,又能提高全要素生产率。

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