Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Aydın Adnan Menderes University, Nazilli, Aydın, Turkey.
J Environ Manage. 2021 Sep 1;293:112889. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.112889. Epub 2021 Jun 1.
This study investigates the nexus between CO2 emissions and ICTs for a large sample of countries. We cover 93 countries over the period 1995-2016 and use three different variables as a proxy for ICTs, i.e., individuals using the internet, fixed telephone subscriptions, and mobile cellular subscriptions. From the methodological viewpoint, we first classify countries using an endogenous data-driven algorithm based on the transitional behavior of CO2 emissions and obtain country groups with low, middle, and high per capita CO2 emissions. After checking the long-run cointegration between CO2 emissions and its determinants in the second step, we thirdly estimate the parameters using three different mean group estimators by controlling the effect of globalization on the environment. The results confirm the presence of cointegration among the variables. Besides, information technology has a statistically significant and positive impact on CO2 emissions. However, this effect does not depend on the per capita CO2 emissions level of countries. The impact of globalization on CO2 emissions is statistically significant and negative in countries with high and middle per capita emissions. While income per capita is one of the most important determinants of CO2 emissions for all country clubs, the estimated coefficients of the population are found to be statistically insignificant. Based on these empirical findings, further policy implications for ICTs, CO2 emissions, globalization, and economic growth are discussed.
本研究考察了二氧化碳排放与信息通信技术之间的关系,样本包括大量国家。我们涵盖了 1995 年至 2016 年期间的 93 个国家,并使用互联网用户人数、固定电话用户数和移动蜂窝用户数这三个不同变量作为信息通信技术的代理变量。从方法论的角度来看,我们首先使用基于二氧化碳排放过渡行为的内生数据驱动算法对国家进行分类,得到人均二氧化碳排放量较低、中等和较高的国家组。在第二步中,我们检验了二氧化碳排放及其决定因素之间的长期协整关系,然后通过控制全球化对环境的影响,使用三种不同的均值组估计量来估计参数。结果证实了变量之间存在协整关系。此外,信息技术对二氧化碳排放具有统计上显著的正向影响。然而,这种影响并不取决于国家的人均二氧化碳排放量水平。在人均二氧化碳排放量较高和中等的国家,全球化对二氧化碳排放的影响具有统计上的显著负向。虽然人均收入是所有国家俱乐部二氧化碳排放的最重要决定因素之一,但发现人口的估计系数在统计上不显著。基于这些实证发现,我们进一步讨论了信息通信技术、二氧化碳排放、全球化和经济增长的政策含义。