School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, China.
Department of Economics, Government College Women University, Sialkot, Pakistan.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2019 Mar;26(9):8594-8608. doi: 10.1007/s11356-019-04296-x. Epub 2019 Feb 1.
This study intends to examine the impact of ICTs (i.e., internet usage and mobile cellular subscriptions), globalization, electricity consumption, financial development, and economic growth on environmental quality by using 1994-2014 panel data of BRICS economies. This study employed a second-generation panel unit root test accounting for the presence of cross-sectional dependence and indicated that carbon dioxide emissions, electricity consumption, financial development, internet usage, mobile usage, globalization, and economic growth have integration of order one. The results from Westerlund panel co-integration test confirms that the variables are co-integrated and revealed that ICT-finance-globalization-electricity-GDP-CO nexus has long-run equilibrium relationship. The results from dynamic seemingly unrelated regression (DSUR) indicate that internet usage and mobile cellular subscriptions (ICTs) have significant, adverse impact on carbon dioxide emissions. To put it simply, ICT positively contributes towards environmental quality. Similarly, economic growth also has an adverse effect on carbon dioxide emissions. On the other hand, electricity consumption, globalization, and financial development have a significant positive effect on carbon emissions. In addition, Granger causality test results show the presence of a bidirectional causal relationship between internet usage and environmental quality, financial development and electricity consumption, ICT and financial development, mobile cellular subscription and globalization, economic growth and environmental quality, and internet usage and economic growth. A unidirectional causal link is detected running from mobile cellular subscriptions towards environmental quality, ICT towards electricity consumption, financial development towards environmental quality, globalization towards environmental quality, and globalization towards economic growth. Moreover, time series analysis has also been done in this study to analyze the findings for each of BRICS countries which are directed towards important policy implications. For instance, ICT policy can play an integral part in improving environmental quality policy.
本研究旨在通过使用金砖国家经济 1994-2014 年的面板数据,考察信息通信技术(即互联网使用和移动蜂窝订阅)、全球化、电力消耗、金融发展和经济增长对环境质量的影响。本研究采用了第二代面板单位根检验,考虑了横截面相关性的存在,并表明二氧化碳排放、电力消耗、金融发展、互联网使用、移动使用、全球化和经济增长具有一阶整合。Westerlund 面板协整检验的结果证实了变量之间的协整关系,并表明信息通信技术-金融-全球化-电力-GDP-CO 之间存在长期均衡关系。动态不相关回归(DSUR)的结果表明,互联网使用和移动蜂窝订阅(信息通信技术)对二氧化碳排放有显著的负面影响。简而言之,信息通信技术对环境质量有积极贡献。同样,经济增长也对二氧化碳排放有不利影响。另一方面,电力消耗、全球化和金融发展对碳排放有显著的积极影响。此外,格兰杰因果关系检验结果表明,互联网使用和环境质量、金融发展和电力消耗、信息通信技术和金融发展、移动蜂窝订阅和全球化、经济增长和环境质量之间存在双向因果关系,以及互联网使用和经济增长之间存在单向因果关系。检测到从移动蜂窝订阅到环境质量、信息通信技术到电力消耗、金融发展到环境质量、全球化到环境质量以及全球化到经济增长的单向因果关系。此外,本研究还进行了时间序列分析,以分析每个金砖国家的发现,这为重要的政策含义提供了指导。例如,信息通信技术政策可以在改善环境质量政策方面发挥重要作用。