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近几十年来,澳大利亚温带森林中的高强度野火在范围和聚集程度上都有所增加。

High-severity wildfires in temperate Australian forests have increased in extent and aggregation in recent decades.

机构信息

School of Ecosystem and Forest Sciences, University of Melbourne, Richmond, Victoria, Australia.

Faculty of Environment, Vietnam National University of Agriculture, Trauquy, Gialam, Hanoi, Vietnam.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2020 Nov 18;15(11):e0242484. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0242484. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

Wildfires have increased in size and frequency in recent decades in many biomes, but have they also become more severe? This question remains under-examined despite fire severity being a critical aspect of fire regimes that indicates fire impacts on ecosystem attributes and associated post-fire recovery. We conducted a retrospective analysis of wildfires larger than 1000 ha in south-eastern Australia to examine the extent and spatial pattern of high-severity burned areas between 1987 and 2017. High-severity maps were generated from Landsat remote sensing imagery. Total and proportional high-severity burned area increased through time. The number of high-severity patches per year remained unchanged but variability in patch size increased, and patches became more aggregated and more irregular in shape. Our results confirm that wildfires in southern Australia have become more severe. This shift in fire regime may have critical consequences for ecosystem dynamics, as fire-adapted temperate forests are more likely to be burned at high severities relative to historical ranges, a trend that seems set to continue under projections of a hotter, drier climate in south-eastern Australia.

摘要

近年来,许多生物群落中的野火在规模和频率上都有所增加,但它们是否也变得更严重了呢?尽管火灾严重程度是火灾发生规律的一个关键方面,表明火灾对生态系统属性和相关的火灾后恢复的影响,但这个问题仍未得到充分研究。我们对澳大利亚东南部大于 1000 公顷的野火进行了回顾性分析,以研究 1987 年至 2017 年间高严重度燃烧区的范围和空间格局。高严重度地图是根据陆地卫星遥感图像生成的。高严重度燃烧区的总面积和比例随着时间的推移而增加。每年的高严重度斑块数量保持不变,但斑块大小的可变性增加了,斑块变得更加聚集,形状也更加不规则。我们的结果证实,澳大利亚南部的野火已经变得更加严重。这种火灾发生规律的转变可能对生态系统动态产生重大影响,因为与历史范围相比,适应火灾的温带森林更有可能被高严重度的火灾烧毁,在澳大利亚东南部气候变得更热、更干燥的预测下,这种趋势似乎还将继续。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/74bb/7673578/c65cffc78c79/pone.0242484.g001.jpg

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