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优化社会艾滋病预防资源配置,降低美国艾滋病发病率。

Optimal Allocation of Societal HIV Prevention Resources to Reduce HIV Incidence in the United States.

机构信息

Stephanie L. Sansom, Evin U. Jacobson, Ram K. Shrestha, Timothy A. Green, and David W. Purcell are with the Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Atlanta, GA. Katherine A. Hicks and Justin Carrico are with RTI Health Solutions, Raleigh, NC.

出版信息

Am J Public Health. 2021 Jan;111(1):150-158. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2020.305965. Epub 2020 Nov 19.

Abstract

To optimize combined public and private spending on HIV prevention to achieve maximum reductions in incidence. We used a national HIV model to estimate new infections from 2018 to 2027 in the United States. We estimated current spending on HIV screening, interventions that move persons with diagnosed HIV along the HIV care continuum, pre-exposure prophylaxis, and syringe services programs. We compared the current funding allocation with 2 optimal scenarios: (1) a limited-reach scenario with expanded efforts to serve eligible persons and (2) an ideal, unlimited-reach scenario in which all eligible persons could be served. A continuation of the current allocation projects 331 000 new HIV cases over the next 10 years. The limited-reach scenario reduces that number by 69%, and the unlimited reach scenario by 94%. The most efficient funding allocations resulted in prompt diagnosis and sustained viral suppression through improved screening of high-risk persons and treatment adherence support for those infected. Optimal allocations of public and private funds for HIV prevention can achieve substantial reductions in new infections. Achieving reductions of more than 90% under current funding will require that virtually all infected receive sustained treatment.

摘要

为了优化艾滋病毒预防的公共和私人支出,实现发病率的最大降低。我们使用国家艾滋病毒模型来估计 2018 年至 2027 年美国新的感染人数。我们估计了目前用于艾滋病毒筛查、将诊断出艾滋病毒的人沿着艾滋病毒护理连续体推进的干预措施、暴露前预防和注射器服务方案的支出。我们将当前的资金分配与 2 种最佳方案进行了比较:(1)扩大服务对象范围的有限范围方案,以及(2)所有符合条件的人都能得到服务的理想、无限制范围方案。如果继续按照目前的分配方案,预计未来 10 年内将新增 331,000 例艾滋病毒新病例。有限范围方案将这一数字减少了 69%,而无限制范围方案则减少了 94%。最有效的资金分配方案通过改进对高危人群的筛查和对感染者的治疗依从性支持,实现了及时诊断和持续病毒抑制。优化艾滋病毒预防的公共和私人资金分配可以实现新感染的大幅减少。在目前的资金下,要实现超过 90%的减少,几乎所有感染者都需要持续接受治疗。

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