Department of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China; National Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 27 Nanwei Road, Xicheng District, Beijing, 100050, China.
Department of Occupational and Environmental Health Sciences, Peking University School of Public Health, 38 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100191, China.
Environ Res. 2021 Mar;194:110503. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2020.110503. Epub 2020 Nov 19.
Sulfur dioxide (SO) is one of the major gaseous pollutants in China and other developing countries. Few multicity studies have been done to examine the short-term effect of SO on cause-specific years of life lost (YLL). This study was designed to investigate the burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) associated with SO exposure.
A 5-year time-series study was conducted in 48 Chinese cities from 2013 to 2017. Generalized additive models were first used to estimate the city-specific relationship. Then, random-effects meta-analyses were applied to pool the estimates. Furthermore, the roles of potential modifiers and the related economic loss estimated by the method of value per statistical life year were also evaluated.
The annual mean concentration of SO was 27.1 μg/m. A 10 μg/m increase in 4-day moving average (lag03) of SO concentration was associated with 0.83% (95% CI: 0.13%, 1.53%) relative increment in YLL from COPD, and relevant percent change of mortality was 0.78% (95% CI: 0.16%, 1.41%). Moreover, a significantly higher effect was observed in the warm season, particularly in the south region. SO exposure was estimated to account for 1.89% of the total economic loss due to YLL from COPD.
Our findings showed a positive association between short-term exposure to SO and YLL from COPD and highlighted the importance of continuous control of SO pollution to reduce corresponding attributable disease burden.
二氧化硫(SO)是中国和其他发展中国家主要的气态污染物之一。很少有多城市研究来检验 SO 对特定病因的年生命损失(YLL)的短期影响。本研究旨在调查与 SO 暴露相关的慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)的负担。
2013 年至 2017 年在中国 48 个城市进行了为期 5 年的时间序列研究。首先使用广义加性模型估计城市特异性关系。然后,应用随机效应荟萃分析来汇总估计值。此外,还评估了潜在修饰剂的作用以及通过生命统计年价值法估计的相关经济损失。
SO 的年平均浓度为 27.1μg/m。SO 浓度 4 天移动平均值(lag03)增加 10μg/m 与 COPD 导致的 YLL 增加 0.83%(95%置信区间:0.13%,1.53%)相关,死亡率的相关百分比变化为 0.78%(95%置信区间:0.16%,1.41%)。此外,在温暖季节,特别是在南方地区,观察到的效果明显更高。SO 暴露估计占 COPD 导致的 YLL 总经济损失的 1.89%。
我们的研究结果表明,短期 SO 暴露与 COPD 导致的 YLL 之间存在正相关关系,突出了持续控制 SO 污染以减少相应归因疾病负担的重要性。