Amendola Simone, Plöderl Martin, Hengartner Michael P
Department of Dynamic and Clinical Psychology, Faculty of Medicine and Psychology, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy.
Department of Crisis Intervention and Suicide Prevention, Christian Doppler Clinic, Paracelsus Medical University Salzburg, Salzburg, Austria.
Eur J Public Health. 2021 Apr 24;31(2):291-297. doi: 10.1093/eurpub/ckaa204.
Ecological studies have explored associations between suicide rates and antidepressant prescriptions in the population, but most of them are limited as they analyzed short-term correlations that may be spurious. The aim of this long-term study was to examine whether trends in suicide rates changed in three European countries when the first antidepressants were introduced in 1960 and when prescription rates increased steeply after 1990 with the introduction of the serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs).
Data were extracted from the WHO Mortality Database. Suicide rates were calculated for people aged 10-89 years from 1951-2015 for Italy, 1955-2016 for Austria and 1951-2013 for Switzerland. Trends in suicide rates stratified by gender were analyzed using joinpoint regression models.
There was a general pattern of long-term trends that was broadly consistent across all three countries. Suicide rates were stable or decreasing during the 1950s and 1960s, they rose during the 1970s, peaked in the early 1980s and thereafter they declined. There were a few notable exceptions to these general trends. In Italian men, suicide rates increased until 1997, then fell sharply until 2006 and increased again from 2006 to 2015. In women from all three countries, there was an extended period during the 2000s when suicide rates were stable. No trend changes occurred around 1960 or 1990.
The introduction of antidepressants around 1960 and the sharp increase in prescriptions after 1990 with the introduction of the SSRIs did not coincide with trend changes in suicide rates in Italy, Austria or Switzerland.
生态学研究探讨了人群中自杀率与抗抑郁药物处方之间的关联,但大多数研究存在局限性,因为它们分析的是可能具有误导性的短期相关性。这项长期研究的目的是考察在1960年首次引入抗抑郁药物以及1990年后随着5-羟色胺再摄取抑制剂(SSRI)的引入处方率急剧上升时,三个欧洲国家的自杀率趋势是否发生了变化。
数据从世界卫生组织死亡率数据库中提取。计算了1951年至2015年意大利10至89岁人群、1955年至2016年奥地利10至89岁人群以及1951年至2013年瑞士10至89岁人群的自杀率。使用连接点回归模型分析按性别分层的自杀率趋势。
所有三个国家都呈现出大致一致的长期趋势总体模式。自杀率在20世纪50年代和60年代稳定或下降,在70年代上升,在80年代初达到峰值,此后下降。这些总体趋势有一些显著例外。在意大利男性中,自杀率在1997年之前上升,然后在2006年之前急剧下降,并在2006年至2015年再次上升。在所有三个国家的女性中,21世纪有一段较长时期自杀率稳定。1960年左右或1990年左右未出现趋势变化。
1960年左右引入抗抑郁药物以及1990年后随着SSRI的引入处方率急剧上升,这与意大利、奥地利或瑞士自杀率的趋势变化并不一致。