在变化的气候中预测热健康结果时，简单性缺乏稳健性。
Simplicity lacks robustness when projecting heat-health outcomes in a changing climate.
机构信息
Arizona State University, School of Sustainability, Tempe, AZ, USA.
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, The Earth Institute, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA.
出版信息
Nat Commun. 2020 Nov 27;11(1):6079. doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-19994-1.
Abstract
Extreme heat adversely affects human health, productivity, and well-being, with more frequent and intense heatwaves projected to increase exposures. However, current risk projections oversimplify critical inter-individual factors of human thermoregulation, resulting in unreliable and unrealistic estimates of future adverse health outcomes.
摘要
极端高温会对人类健康、生产力和幸福感产生不利影响，预计更频繁和更强烈的热浪将增加暴露风险。然而，目前的风险预测过于简化了人类体温调节的关键个体间因素，导致对未来不良健康结果的估计不可靠和不切实际。
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