Andresen Martin A, Hodgkinson Tarah
School of Criminology and Criminal Justice, Griffith University, Gold Coast Campus, Parklands Dr, Southport, QLD 4215 Australia.
School of Criminology and Criminal Justice, Griffith University, Mt Gravatt Campus, 176 Messines Ridge Road, Mt Gravatt, QLD 4122 Australia.
Crime Sci. 2020;9(1):25. doi: 10.1186/s40163-020-00135-4. Epub 2020 Nov 24.
The COVID-19 pandemic has dramatically affected social life. In efforts to reduce the spread of the virus, countries around the world implemented social restrictions, including social distancing, working from home, and the shuttering of numerous businesses. These social restrictions have also affected crime rates. In this study, we investigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the frequency of offending (crimes include property, violent, mischief, and miscellaneous) in Queensland, Australia. In particular, we examine this impact across numerous settings, including rural, regional and urban. We measure these shifts across the restriction period, as well as the staged relaxation of these restrictions. In order to measure impact of this period we use structural break tests. In general, we find that criminal offences have significantly decreased during the initial lockdown, but as expected, increased once social restrictions were relaxed. These findings were consistent across Queensland's districts, save for two areas. We discuss how these findings are important for criminal justice and social service practitioners when operating within an extraordinary event.
新冠疫情对社会生活产生了巨大影响。为努力减少病毒传播,世界各国实施了社会限制措施,包括保持社交距离、居家办公以及众多企业停业。这些社会限制措施也影响了犯罪率。在本研究中,我们调查了新冠疫情对澳大利亚昆士兰州犯罪频率(犯罪包括财产犯罪、暴力犯罪、恶作剧犯罪和其他各类犯罪)的影响。具体而言,我们在包括农村、地区和城市在内的众多环境中考察这种影响。我们衡量了整个限制期以及这些限制措施分阶段放宽期间的这些变化。为了衡量这一时期的影响,我们使用了结构断点检验。总体而言,我们发现,在最初的封锁期间刑事犯罪显著减少,但正如预期的那样,社会限制措施放宽后犯罪率上升。除了两个地区外,这些发现在昆士兰州各地区都是一致的。我们讨论了这些发现在非凡事件期间对刑事司法和社会服务从业者的重要性。