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在养老院中实施医院回避计划的效果和成本效益:一项前瞻性队列研究和模型决策分析。

The effectiveness and cost effectiveness of a hospital avoidance program in a residential aged care facility: a prospective cohort study and modelled decision analysis.

机构信息

Australian Centre for Health Services Innovation and Centre for Healthcare Transformation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia.

Central Queensland University, Rockhampton, Australia.

出版信息

BMC Geriatr. 2020 Dec 7;20(1):527. doi: 10.1186/s12877-020-01904-1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Residential aged care facility residents experience high rates of hospital admissions which are stressful, costly and often preventable. The EDDIE program is a hospital avoidance initiative designed to enable nursing and care staff to detect, refer and quickly respond to early signals of a deteriorating resident. The program was implemented in a 96-bed residential aged care facility in regional Australia.

METHODS

A prospective pre-post cohort study design was used to collect data on costs of program delivery, hospital admission rates and length of stay for the 12 months prior to, and following, the intervention. A Markov decision model was developed to synthesize study data with published literature in order to estimate the cost-effectiveness of the program. Quality adjusted life years (QALYs) were adopted as the measure of effectiveness.

RESULTS

The EDDIE program was associated with a 19% reduction in annual hospital admissions and a 31% reduction in the average length of stay. The cost-effectiveness analysis found the program to be both more effective and less costly than usual care, with 0.06 QALYs gained and $249,000 health system costs saved in a modelled cohort of 96 residents. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis estimated that there was an 86% probability that the program was cost-effective after taking the uncertainty of the model inputs into account.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides promising evidence for the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a nurse led, early intervention program in preventing unnecessary hospital admissions within a residential aged care facility. Further research in multi-site randomised studies is needed to confirm the generalisability of these results.

摘要

背景

养老院居民的住院率很高,这给他们带来了压力,增加了成本,而且往往是可以预防的。EDDIE 项目是一项旨在使护理和工作人员能够发现、转介和快速应对居民病情恶化早期信号的预防住院项目。该项目在澳大利亚一个拥有 96 张床位的养老院实施。

方法

采用前瞻性前后队列研究设计,在干预实施前和实施后 12 个月内收集项目实施成本、住院率和住院时间的数据。采用马尔可夫决策模型将研究数据与已发表的文献综合起来,以评估该项目的成本效益。采用质量调整生命年(QALY)作为效果的衡量标准。

结果

EDDIE 项目使每年的住院人数减少了 19%,平均住院时间减少了 31%。成本效益分析发现,该项目在效果上更优,成本更低,在 96 名居民的模型队列中,每增加 0.06 个 QALY,并节省 24.9 万美元的卫生系统成本。概率敏感性分析估计,考虑到模型输入的不确定性,该项目有 86%的可能性具有成本效益。

结论

这项研究为在养老院实施以护士为主导的早期干预项目以预防不必要的住院提供了有希望的证据。需要在多地点随机研究中进一步研究,以确认这些结果的普遍性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/68a9/7720399/cb23fff3e96c/12877_2020_1904_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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