School of Public Health (Shenzhen), Sun Yat-sen University, Guangdong, 510275, China.
Chemosphere. 2021 Jan;263:128131. doi: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2020.128131. Epub 2020 Sep 3.
To better estimate cumulative cancer risks and avoid the overestimated risk from the linear extrapolation, an equivalency iterative algorithm associated with a carcinogenesis hypothesis was introduced for a mixture of chemicals with the same mode of action (MOA). A lognormal dose-response function was applied for carcinogenic chemicals. Under some circumstances, the repetitive random iterative algorithm could be transformed into the nonrepetitive one. It was also demonstrated that the equivalent value for a lognormal-based equivalency iterative algorithm with the same shape parameter was independent of the operation order. Based on the theorems of the algorithm and Plackett and Hewlett's minimum effective dose assumption, the sum of toxicity-weighted dose for a mixture of chemicals was mathematically derived. Compared to the estimation of risk by the linear extrapolation method (e.g., cancer slope factors), the equivalency iterative algorithm for lognormal functions can avoid overestimated risk significantly, which can help better estimate the cumulative cancer risk for a mixture of chemicals with the same MOA.
为了更好地估计累积癌症风险并避免线性外推带来的高估风险,本文提出了一种与致癌作用假说相关的等效迭代算法,用于具有相同作用模式(MOA)的化学物质混合物。对于致癌化学物质,应用了对数正态剂量-反应函数。在某些情况下,重复随机迭代算法可以转化为非重复迭代算法。还证明了基于对数正态等效迭代算法的等效值,其形状参数相同,与操作顺序无关。基于算法定理和 Plackett 和 Hewlett 的最小有效剂量假设,推导出了化学物质混合物的毒性加权剂量之和的数学公式。与线性外推法(例如癌症斜率因子)的风险估计相比,对数正态函数的等效迭代算法可以显著避免风险的高估,这有助于更好地估计具有相同 MOA 的化学物质混合物的累积癌症风险。