Citibank, Tampa, Florida, United States of America.
Department of Industrial and Management Systems Engineering, The University of South Florida, Tampa, Florida, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2020 Dec 10;15(12):e0243503. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0243503. eCollection 2020.
Understanding human mobility in outdoor environments is critical for many applications including traffic modeling, urban planning, and epidemic modeling. Using data collected from mobile devices, researchers have studied human mobility in outdoor environments and found that human mobility is highly regular and predictable. In this study, we focus on human mobility in private homes. Understanding this type of human mobility is essential as smart-homes and their assistive applications become ubiquitous. We model the movement of a resident using ambient motion sensor data and construct a chronological symbol sequence that represents the resident's movement trajectory. Entropy rate is used to quantify the regularity of the resident's mobility patterns, and an upper bound of predictability is estimated. However, the presence of visitors and malfunctioning sensors result in data that is not representative of the resident's mobility patterns. We apply a change-point detection algorithm based on penalized contrast function to detect these changes, and to identify the time periods when the data do not completely reflect the resident's activities. Experimental results using the data collected from 10 private homes over periods of 178 to 713 days show that human mobility at home is also highly predictable in the range of 70% independent of variations in floor plans and individual daily routines.
理解户外环境中的人类移动性对于许多应用至关重要,包括交通建模、城市规划和疫情建模。研究人员使用从移动设备收集的数据研究了户外环境中的人类移动性,发现人类移动性高度规律且可预测。在本研究中,我们专注于私人住宅中的人类移动性。理解这种类型的人类移动性至关重要,因为智能家居及其辅助应用变得无处不在。我们使用环境运动传感器数据来建模居民的移动,并构建一个表示居民移动轨迹的时间顺序符号序列。熵率用于量化居民移动模式的规律性,并估计可预测性的上限。然而,访客的存在和传感器故障会导致数据不能完全代表居民的移动模式。我们应用基于惩罚对比函数的变点检测算法来检测这些变化,并确定数据不能完全反映居民活动的时间段。使用从 10 个私人住宅收集的、持续 178 到 713 天的数据进行的实验结果表明,家庭中的人类移动性在 70%的范围内也是高度可预测的,独立于平面图和个人日常活动的变化。