Luo Qingwei, Steinberg Julia, O'Connell Dianne L, Grogan Paul B, Canfell Karen, Feletto Eleonora
Cancer Research Division, Cancer Council NSW, Kings Cross, PO Box 572, Sydney, NSW, 1340, Australia.
The University of Sydney School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
BMC Res Notes. 2020 Dec 10;13(1):561. doi: 10.1186/s13104-020-05395-6.
A previous Australian study compared the observed numbers of cancer cases and deaths in 2007 with the expected numbers based on 1987 rates. This study examines the impact of cancer rate changes over the 20-year period 1996-2015, for people aged under 75 years.
The overall age-standardised cancer incidence rate increased from 350.7 in 1995 to 364.4 per 100,000 in 2015. Over the period 1996-2015, there were 29,226 (2.0%) more cases (males: 5940, 0.7%; females: 23,286, 3.7%) than expected numbers based on 1995 rates. Smaller numbers of cases were observed compared to those expected for cancers of the lung for males and colorectum, and cancers with unknown primary. Larger numbers of cases were observed compared to those expected for cancers of the prostate, thyroid and female breast. The overall age-standardised cancer mortality rate decreased from 125.6 in 1995 to 84.3 per 100,000 in 2015. During 1996 to 2015 there were 106,903 (- 20.6%) fewer cancer deaths (males: - 69,007, - 22.6%; females: - 37,896, - 17.9%) than expected based on the 1995 mortality rates. Smaller numbers of deaths were observed compared to those expected for cancers of the lung, colorectum and female breast, and more cancer deaths were observed for liver cancer.
澳大利亚此前的一项研究将2007年观察到的癌症病例数和死亡数与基于1987年发病率的预期数进行了比较。本研究考察了1996 - 2015年这20年间癌症发病率变化对75岁以下人群的影响。
总体年龄标准化癌症发病率从1995年的每10万人350.7例增至2015年的364.4例。在1996 - 2015年期间，实际病例数比基于1995年发病率预期的病例数多29226例（2.0%）（男性：5940例，0.7%；女性：23286例，3.7%）。观察到的男性肺癌、结直肠癌以及原发灶不明癌症的病例数低于预期。观察到的前列腺癌、甲状腺癌和女性乳腺癌病例数高于预期。总体年龄标准化癌症死亡率从1995年的每10万人125.6例降至2015年的84.3例。在1996至2015年期间，癌症死亡人数比基于1995年死亡率预期的死亡人数少106903例（-20.6%）（男性：-69007例，-22.6%；女性：-37896例，-17.9%）。观察到的肺癌、结直肠癌和女性乳腺癌死亡人数低于预期，而肝癌的癌症死亡人数高于预期。
