Department of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente, Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States of America.
Department of Epidemiology, UCLA Fielding School of Public Health, Los Angeles, California, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2020 Dec 16;15(12):e0243930. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0243930. eCollection 2020.
Thailand has the highest road traffic fatality rate in Southeast Asia, making road safety a critical public health concern. A 2015 World Health Organization (WHO) Report showed that speeding behavior was the most important determinant for road traffic crashes in Thailand. Here, we aimed to examine associations of socio-demographic factors (gender, age, socioeconomic status) with self-reported motorcycle speeding behavior. Additionally, we examined a potential role of time discounting and risk preference as mediators in the association of socio-demographic factors with speeding. We used data obtained from the Mahasarakham University Social Network Survey 2018 (MSUSSS) (N = 150). We ran linear network autocorrelation models (lnam) to account for the data's social network structure. We found that males are more likely than females to engage in speeding behavior (β = 0.140, p = 0.001) and to discount the future (β = 5.175, p = 0.017). However, further causal mediation analysis showed that time discounting does not mediate the gender-speeding association (p for mediation = 0.540). Although socioeconomic status (subjective social class) was not associated with speeding (β = 0.039, p = 0.177), age was marginally associated with speeding (β = 0.005, p = 0.093). Future studies may consider using a larger sample.
泰国是东南亚道路交通死亡率最高的国家,因此道路安全是一个至关重要的公共卫生关注点。世界卫生组织(WHO)2015 年的一份报告显示,超速行为是泰国道路交通碰撞的最重要决定因素。在这里,我们旨在研究社会人口因素(性别、年龄、社会经济地位)与自我报告的摩托车超速行为之间的关联。此外,我们还研究了时间贴现和风险偏好作为社会人口因素与超速行为之间关联的中介因素的潜在作用。我们使用了 2018 年玛哈沙拉堪大学社会网络调查(MSUSSS)的数据(N=150)。我们运行了线性网络自相关模型(lnam),以解释数据的社会网络结构。我们发现男性比女性更有可能超速(β=0.140,p=0.001),并且更倾向于贴现未来(β=5.175,p=0.017)。然而,进一步的因果中介分析表明,时间贴现并不能中介性别与超速行为之间的关联(p 中介=0.540)。尽管社会经济地位(主观社会阶层)与超速行为无关(β=0.039,p=0.177),但年龄与超速行为呈边缘相关(β=0.005,p=0.093)。未来的研究可能需要考虑使用更大的样本。