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一个促进绵羊和山羊养殖经济可持续发展的决策支持系统。

A Decision Support System for Economically Sustainable Sheep and Goat Farming.

作者信息

Vouraki Sotiria, Skourtis Ioannis, Psichos Konstantinos, Jones Wendy, Davis Carol, Johnson Marion, Rupérez Leticia Riaguas, Theodoridis Alexandros, Arsenos Georgios

机构信息

Laboratory of Animal Husbandry, School of Veterinary Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, Aristotle University, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece.

Integrated Information Technology and Digital Communication, 11525 Athens, Greece.

出版信息

Animals (Basel). 2020 Dec 17;10(12):2421. doi: 10.3390/ani10122421.

Abstract

The European sheep and goat sector is characterized by low professionalization and management training. Moreover, it is fragmented in terms of production aims and farming systems. Here, iSAGEDSS, a web-based application allowing dairy and meat small ruminant farmers in different countries to make annual management plans by testing future scenarios, is presented. Data were obtained for the meat sheep (United Kingdom and Spain), dairy sheep (France and Greece) and dairy goat production systems (Greece) from partners of the Innovation for Sustainable Sheep and Goat Production in Europe (iSAGE) project. These were used to set default values and ranges for all important farm parameters in each system and country. An algorithm was developed assessing nutritional management and its impact on production and financial performance. Reports focus on profitability, productivity and environmental sustainability. A case study in three dairy sheep farms in Greece was performed. In each case, an evaluation scenario was created using actual farm data that were compared with the estimated ones. Two scenarios testing management decisions for gross margin maximization and milk pricing fluctuations were created. Application results showed high prediction accuracy for gross margin and production estimation (error of circa 9% and 4%, respectively). Moreover, the ability to promote financial, production and grazing management efficiency was demonstrated.

摘要

欧洲绵羊和山羊养殖领域的特点是专业化程度低且管理培训不足。此外,在生产目标和养殖系统方面也较为分散。本文介绍了iSAGEDSS,这是一个基于网络的应用程序,可让不同国家的奶用和肉用小反刍动物养殖户通过测试未来情景来制定年度管理计划。数据来自欧洲绵羊和山羊可持续生产创新(iSAGE)项目的合作伙伴,涉及肉羊(英国和西班牙)、奶羊(法国和希腊)以及奶山羊生产系统(希腊)。这些数据被用于设定每个系统和国家中所有重要农场参数的默认值和范围。开发了一种算法来评估营养管理及其对生产和财务绩效的影响。报告重点关注盈利能力、生产力和环境可持续性。在希腊的三个奶羊场进行了案例研究。在每个案例中,使用实际农场数据创建了一个评估情景,并与估计情景进行比较。创建了两个测试管理决策以实现毛利润最大化和牛奶价格波动的情景。应用结果表明,毛利润和产量估计的预测准确率很高(分别约为9%和4%的误差)。此外,还展示了提高财务、生产和放牧管理效率的能力。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e696/7766113/5446456a1775/animals-10-02421-g001.jpg

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