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中国先天性梅毒的新型筛查方法:一项回顾性队列研究。

New screening approach to detecting congenital syphilis in China: a retrospective cohort study.

机构信息

Department of Child Health, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.

Centre for Community Child Health, Murdoch Children's Research Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.

出版信息

Arch Dis Child. 2021 Mar;106(3):231-237. doi: 10.1136/archdischild-2020-320549. Epub 2020 Dec 22.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Diagnosis of congenital syphilis (CS) is not straightforward and can be challenging. This study aimed to evaluate the validity of an algorithm using timing of maternal antisyphilis treatment and titres of non-treponemal antibody as predictors of CS.

METHODS

Confirmed CS cases and those where CS was excluded were obtained from the Guangzhou Prevention of Mother-to-Child Transmission of syphilis programme between 2011 and 2019. We calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) using receiver operating characteristics (ROC) in two situations: (1) receiving antisyphilis treatment or no-treatment during pregnancy and (2) initiating treatment before 28 gestational weeks (GWs), initiating after 28 GWs or receiving no treatment for syphilis seropositive women.

RESULTS

Among 1558 syphilis-exposed children, 39 had confirmed CS. Area under the curve, sensitivity and specificity of maternal non-treponemal titres before treatment and treatment during pregnancy were 0.80, 76.9%, 78.7% and 0.79, 69.2%, 88.7%, respectively, for children with CS. For the algorithm, ROC results showed that PPV and NPV for predicting CS were 37.3% and 96.4% (non-treponemal titres cut-off value 1:8 and no antisyphilis treatment), 9.4% and 100% (non-treponemal titres cut-off value 1:16 and treatment after 28 GWs), 4.2% and 99.5% (non-treponemal titres cut-off value 1:32 and treatment before 28 GWs), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

An algorithm using maternal non-treponemal titres and timing of treatment during pregnancy could be an effective strategy to diagnose or rule out CS, especially when the rate of loss to follow-up is high or there are no straightforward diagnostic tools.

摘要

背景

先天性梅毒(CS)的诊断并不简单,可能具有挑战性。本研究旨在评估一种使用母体驱梅治疗时机和非梅毒螺旋体抗体滴度作为 CS 预测指标的算法的有效性。

方法

本研究从 2011 年至 2019 年期间,从广州市梅毒母婴传播预防项目中获得确诊 CS 病例和排除 CS 病例。我们在两种情况下使用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)计算灵敏度、特异性、阳性预测值(PPV)和阴性预测值(NPV):(1)妊娠期间接受驱梅治疗或未治疗;(2)在 28 孕周(GWs)之前开始治疗、在 28 GWs 之后开始治疗或未治疗梅毒血清阳性妇女。

结果

在 1558 例梅毒暴露儿童中,有 39 例确诊为 CS。CS 患儿治疗前和妊娠期间母体非梅毒螺旋体抗体滴度的曲线下面积、灵敏度和特异性分别为 0.80、76.9%、78.7%和 0.79、69.2%、88.7%。对于该算法,ROC 结果显示,预测 CS 的 PPV 和 NPV 分别为 37.3%和 96.4%(非梅毒螺旋体抗体滴度截断值 1:8 和未进行驱梅治疗)、9.4%和 100%(非梅毒螺旋体抗体滴度截断值 1:16 和 28 GWs 后治疗)、4.2%和 99.5%(非梅毒螺旋体抗体滴度截断值 1:32 和 28 GWs 前治疗)。

结论

一种使用母体非梅毒螺旋体抗体滴度和妊娠期间治疗时机的算法可能是诊断或排除 CS 的有效策略,尤其是在失访率较高或没有直接诊断工具的情况下。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b856/7907569/c4e1a249976e/archdischild-2020-320549f01.jpg

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