Nic-May Arturo J, Avila-Vales Eric J
Facultad de Matemáticas, Universidad Autónoma de Yucatán, Anillo Periférico Norte, Tablaje 13615, Mérida, Yucatán C.P. 97119, México.
Math Biosci Eng. 2020 Nov 10;17(6):7862-7891. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2020400.
Influenza remains one of the major infectious diseases that target humankind, therefore, understand transmission mechanisms and control strategies can help us obtain more accurate predictions. There are many control strategies, one of them is vaccination. In this paper, our purpose is to extend the incidence rate of a two-strain flu model with a single vaccination, which includes a wide range of incidence rates among them, some cases are not monotonic nor concave, which may be used to reflect media education or psychological effect. Our main aim is to mathematically analyze the effect of the vaccine for strain 1, the general incidence rate of strain 1 and the general incidence rate of strain 2 on the dynamics of the model. Four equilibrium points were obtained and the global dynamics of the model are completely determined via suitable Lyapunov functions. We illustrate our results by some numerical simulations. Our results showed that the vaccination is always beneficial for controlling strain 1, its impact on strain 2 depends on the force of infection of strain 2. Also, the psychological effect is always beneficial for controlling the disease.
流感仍然是危害人类的主要传染病之一,因此,了解传播机制和控制策略有助于我们获得更准确的预测。有许多控制策略,其中之一是接种疫苗。在本文中,我们的目的是扩展一个单种疫苗接种的双毒株流感模型的发病率,该模型包含多种发病率,其中一些情况既非单调也非凹函数,这可用于反映媒体宣传或心理效应。我们的主要目标是从数学上分析1型毒株疫苗、1型毒株的一般发病率和2型毒株的一般发病率对模型动态的影响。得到了四个平衡点,并通过合适的李雅普诺夫函数完全确定了模型的全局动态。我们通过一些数值模拟来说明我们的结果。我们的结果表明,接种疫苗对控制1型毒株总是有益的,其对2型毒株的影响取决于2型毒株的感染力。此外,心理效应总是有利于控制疾病。