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具有疫苗接种和一般非单调发病率的分数阶两菌株流行病模型的定性分析

Qualitative analysis of a fractional-order two-strain epidemic model with vaccination and general non-monotonic incidence rate.

作者信息

Sahnoune Mohamed Yasser, Ez-Zetouni Adil, Akdim Khadija, Zahid Mehdi

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences and Technology, Cadi Ayyad University, PO Box 549, 40000 Marrakesh, Morocco.

出版信息

Int J Dyn Control. 2022 Nov 22:1-12. doi: 10.1007/s40435-022-01083-4.

Abstract

In this paper, a fractional-order two-strain epidemic model with vaccination and general non-monotonic incidence rate is analyzed. The studied problem is formulated using susceptible, infectious and recovered compartmental model. A Caputo fractional operator is incorporated in each compartment to describe the memory effect related to an epidemic evolution. First, the global existence, positivity and boundedness of solutions of the proposed model are proved. The basic reproduction numbers associated with studied problem are calculated. Four steady states are given, namely the disease-free equilibrium, the strain 1 endemic equilibrium, the strain 2 endemic equilibrium, and the endemic equilibrium associated with both strains. By considering appropriate Lyapunov functions, the global stability of the equilibrium points is proven according to the model parameters. Our modeling approach using a generalized non-monotonic incidence functions encloses a variety of fractional-order epidemic models existing in the literature. Finally, the theoretical findings are illustrated using numerical simulations.

摘要

本文分析了一个具有疫苗接种和一般非单调发病率的分数阶两菌株流行病模型。所研究的问题采用易感、感染和康复的 compartmental 模型来表述。在每个 compartment 中引入了 Caputo 分数阶算子,以描述与流行病演化相关的记忆效应。首先,证明了所提模型解的全局存在性、正性和有界性。计算了与所研究问题相关的基本再生数。给出了四个稳态,即无病平衡点、菌株 1 地方病平衡点、菌株 2 地方病平衡点以及与两种菌株相关的地方病平衡点。通过考虑适当的 Lyapunov 函数,根据模型参数证明了平衡点的全局稳定性。我们使用广义非单调发病率函数的建模方法涵盖了文献中现有的各种分数阶流行病模型。最后,通过数值模拟说明了理论结果。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bca8/9685025/1533cd0c01d8/40435_2022_1083_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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