Department of Economics, University of Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 May;28(17):22011-22021. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-12071-6. Epub 2021 Jan 7.
This study examines the effect of globalization and urbanization on deforestation in Burkina Faso, over the period 1980 to 2017. The study employed the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) model and the Toda-Yamamoto Granger causality approach. Empirical findings affirmed that globalization, urbanization, and agricultural land have a positive and significant effect on deforestation in the long run, while population density reduces the deforestation rate, thus indicating an improvement in environmental quality. On the other hand, urbanization, economic growth, and population density have a positive and significant impact on deforestation in the short run. Furthermore, the Granger causality approach confirmed a bidirectional association between deforestation and urbanization and between globalization and agricultural land, as well as between urbanization and population density. The result further affirmed a unidirectional causal link running from urbanization to agricultural land. Based on the empirical findings, the study recommends that the government should ensure more regulation on the removal of barriers to international trade. The study further recommends that the government should implement relevant agricultural policies to guard against deforestation since the results of the study suggest that agriculture contributes negatively to deforestation in Burkina Faso.
本研究考察了 1980 年至 2017 年期间全球化和城市化对布基纳法索森林砍伐的影响。该研究采用自回归分布滞后（ARDL）模型和稻田-山本格兰杰因果关系方法。实证结果证实，长期来看，全球化、城市化和农业用地对森林砍伐有正向且显著的影响，而人口密度则降低了森林砍伐率，从而表明环境质量得到了改善。另一方面，城市化、经济增长和人口密度对森林砍伐的短期影响为正且显著。此外，格兰杰因果关系检验证实了森林砍伐与城市化、全球化与农业用地以及城市化与人口密度之间存在双向关联，同时进一步证实了城市化与农业用地之间存在单向因果关系。基于实证结果，本研究建议政府应确保对国际贸易壁垒的消除进行更多的监管。本研究还建议政府实施相关农业政策，以防范森林砍伐，因为研究结果表明，农业对布基纳法索的森林砍伐有负面影响。
