, New Rochelle, NY, USA.
College of Agricultural and Life Sciences, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID, 83844, USA.
Cancer Causes Control. 2021 Apr;32(4):409-414. doi: 10.1007/s10552-020-01387-w. Epub 2021 Jan 15.
A recent meta-analysis of five case-control studies and one cohort study reported that exposure to glyphosate was associated with increased risk of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL). The meta-analysis was based on estimates of risk from the included studies at the highest reported exposure level obtained from analyses with the longest lag period. The extent to which the summary estimate depends upon the exposure definitions and assumed latency period is uncertain.
We carried out sensitivity analyses to determine how the definition of exposure and the choice of latency period affect the summary estimate from meta-analyses of the 6 studies included in the recent meta-analysis. We also conducted a meta-analysis of ever-exposure to glyphosate incorporating the most updated results from the case-control studies.
The summary estimates of risk varied considerably depending on both the assumptions about exposure level and latency. Using the highest reported exposure levels, evidence of an association between glyphosate and NHL was strongest when estimates from analyses in the cohort study with a 20-year lag [RR = 1.41 (95% CI 1.13-1.76)] and a 15-year lag [RR = 1.25 (95% CI 1.01-1.25)] were included. In our meta-analysis of ever-exposure with no lag period, the summary relative risk with updated estimates was 1.05 (95% CI 0.87-1.28).
The results of meta-analyses of glyphosate exposure and NHL risk depend on assumptions made about both exposure level and latency period. Our results for ever-exposure are consistent with those of two recent meta-analyses conducted using somewhat different study inclusion criteria.
最近的一项荟萃分析包括五项病例对照研究和一项队列研究,报告称接触草甘膦与非霍奇金淋巴瘤(NHL)风险增加有关。该荟萃分析基于来自最长潜伏期分析的报告最高暴露水平的纳入研究中风险的估计值。汇总估计值在多大程度上取决于暴露定义和假设潜伏期尚不确定。
我们进行了敏感性分析,以确定在最近荟萃分析中纳入的 6 项研究中,暴露定义和潜伏期选择如何影响荟萃分析的汇总估计值。我们还对草甘膦的终生暴露进行了荟萃分析,纳入了病例对照研究的最新结果。
风险的汇总估计值差异很大,这取决于对暴露水平和潜伏期的假设。使用报告的最高暴露水平,当包括 20 年潜伏期队列研究[RR = 1.41(95% CI 1.13-1.76)]和 15 年潜伏期的分析结果时,草甘膦与 NHL 之间的关联证据最强[RR = 1.25(95% CI 1.01-1.25)]。在我们没有潜伏期的终生暴露荟萃分析中,更新后的估计汇总相对风险为 1.05(95% CI 0.87-1.28)。
草甘膦暴露与 NHL 风险的荟萃分析结果取决于对暴露水平和潜伏期的假设。我们对终生暴露的结果与最近使用略有不同的研究纳入标准进行的两项荟萃分析的结果一致。