Center for Environmental Biology and Ecosystem Studies, National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tokyo, Japan.
Institute for Business and Finance, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan.
Sci Total Environ. 2021 May 10;768:144723. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.144723. Epub 2021 Jan 7.
In Japan, in response to the spread of the new coronavirus disease (COVID-19), a 'new normal' in the era of the COVID-19 was proposed by the government, which calls for thorough wearing of masks as an infection control measure in the era of the COVID-19, but related heat illness has been a great concern this summer. We applied quasi-Poisson regression models to the daily number of emergency transportations due to heat illness from 2008 to 2020 from the Fire and Disaster Management Agency, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, Japan, to estimate the expected weekly number of emergency transportations from heat illness, with adjustment for their long-term trend and the weather conditions, including temperatures. We found that, at the national level, the number of heat illness emergency transports did not significantly increase or decrease from the annual trend in 2020. By prefecture, on the other hand, there were some prefectures in which the number of heat illness emergency transports was less than the average year, and most of them were in the week of August 10-16. By age group, the number of heat illness emergency transports in the 0-17 and 18-64 age groups was particularly low in some prefectures, and by severity, those in mild cases was particularly low. A caution is necessary that there is a possibility that a decrease in cases possibly associated with COVID-19 measures, such as, outdoor activity restrictions at schools/universities and cancellation of public events, may offset the possible increase in heat illness cases occurring elsewhere associated with wearing masks. Given that the end of the COVID-19 pandemic is not expected yet, continuous and appropriate awareness-raising activities to prevent heat-related illness remain important.
在日本,针对新型冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的传播,政府提出了 COVID-19 时代的“新常态”,呼吁在 COVID-19 时代彻底佩戴口罩作为感染控制措施,但相关的热相关疾病是今年夏天的一大关注点。我们应用准泊松回归模型,对日本总务省消防厅 2008 年至 2020 年期间因热相关疾病而进行的急救转运的每日数量进行分析,以估计因热相关疾病而进行的急救转运的预期周数量,同时调整其长期趋势和天气条件,包括温度。我们发现,在全国范围内,2020 年因热相关疾病而进行的急救转运数量与年度趋势相比没有明显增加或减少。另一方面,按县划分,有些县的因热相关疾病而进行的急救转运数量少于平均水平,其中大多数在 8 月 10 日至 16 日这一周。按年龄组划分,在一些县,0-17 岁和 18-64 岁年龄组的因热相关疾病而进行的急救转运数量特别低,按严重程度划分,在一些县,轻度病例的因热相关疾病而进行的急救转运数量特别低。需要注意的是,由于与 COVID-19 措施相关的活动限制,如学校/大学的户外活动限制和公共活动取消,可能会抵消与佩戴口罩相关的其他地方可能出现的热相关疾病病例的增加,因此情况可能会有所减少。鉴于 COVID-19 大流行尚未结束,持续和适当的预防与热相关疾病的意识提高活动仍然很重要。