López Steinmetz Lorena Cecilia, López Steinmetz Romina Lucrecia, Diaz Silvina Laura, Godoy Juan Carlos
Instituto de Investigaciones Psicológicas (IIPsi), Facultad de Psicología, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Boulevard de la Reforma esquina Enfermera Gordillo s/n, Ciudad Universitaria, Córdoba X5000, Argentina; Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET), Argentina; Universidad Siglo 21, Sede Campus, Boulevard de los Alemanes s/n, Córdoba 5000, Argentina.
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET), Argentina; Instituto de Ecorregiones Andinas (INECOA-UNJu-CONICET) and Instituto de Geología y Minería, Universidad Nacional de Jujuy, Av. Bolivia 1661, Jujuy 4600, Argentina.
Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol. 2021 Feb;36:100393. doi: 10.1016/j.sste.2020.100393. Epub 2020 Nov 18.
The Lithium Triangle in the Andean plateau involves high altitude (>3,000 m asl) hydrological systems having high lithium graded waters. This research was carried-out in rural areas of north westernmost Argentinean Andes and was aimed: 1) to determine concentrations of lithium in drinking waters; 2) to calculate suicide mortality rates based on available official data (2003-2013); 3) to analyze bivariate differences between lithium concentrations in drinking water, mean rates of suicide mortality, altitude of sampling sites, and water sources; 4) to analyze bivariate correlations between lithium concentrations in drinking water, mean rates of suicide mortality, and altitude; 5) to test predictive models for mean rates of suicide mortality, when considering the predictors lithium concentrations in drinking water, altitude, and water sources. Lithium determinations in drinking waters were performed by Microwave Plasma-Atomic Emission Spectrometer. Nonparametric tests were applied to analyze differences and correlations. Generalized linear models (GLM) were used to fitting models for mean rates of suicide. Drinking waters contained up to 2.98 mg L of lithium. Mean rates of suicide mortality (per 100,000 inhabitants) were high, ranging from 19.12 (± 19.83) to 30.22 (± 16.70). Lithium but not altitude was positively correlated with suicide mortality when analyzing bivariate correlations (Li: rho = 0.76, p-value < 0.001). However, when GLM were calculated, a significant interaction effect was found between lithium and altitude (p-value < 0.001). This interaction effect would act in some way restraining the suicide mortality rates.
安第斯高原的锂三角地区拥有高海拔(海拔高于3000米)且锂含量高的水文系统。本研究在阿根廷最西北部安第斯山脉的农村地区开展,旨在:1)测定饮用水中的锂浓度;2)根据可得的官方数据(2003 - 2013年)计算自杀死亡率;3)分析饮用水中锂浓度、自杀死亡率均值、采样点海拔和水源之间的双变量差异;4)分析饮用水中锂浓度、自杀死亡率均值和海拔之间的双变量相关性;5)在考虑饮用水中锂浓度、海拔和水源这些预测因素时,测试自杀死亡率均值的预测模型。饮用水中的锂测定采用微波等离子体原子发射光谱仪进行。应用非参数检验来分析差异和相关性。使用广义线性模型(GLM)来拟合自杀率均值的模型。饮用水中锂含量高达2.98毫克/升。自杀死亡率均值(每10万居民)较高,范围在19.12(±19.83)至30.22(±16.7)之间。在分析双变量相关性时,锂而非海拔与自杀死亡率呈正相关(锂:rho = 0.76,p值<0.001)。然而,在计算GLM时,发现锂和海拔之间存在显著的交互作用(p值<0.001)。这种交互作用会以某种方式抑制自杀死亡率。