Shan Yi, Xu Yufeng, Lu Yuexin, Chen Menglu, Cao Jing, Wang Yijie, Lin Xiling, Ye Juan
Department of Ophthalmology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University, College of Medicine, 88 Jiefang Road, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310009, China.
Department of Surgical Oncology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University, College of Medicine, 88 Jiefang Road, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310009, China.
J Ophthalmol. 2020 Dec 8;2020:4858636. doi: 10.1155/2020/4858636. eCollection 2020.
There has not been a recent population-based study regarding the epidemiological trend and survival of eyelid primary malignant melanoma (PMM). Our study aims to evaluate the updated incidence trends and discuss the factors affecting the survival outcomes of eyelid PMM.
A total of 1397 eyelid PMM cases diagnosed between 1975 and 2016 were retrospectively identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Age-adjusted incidence rates and annual percent changes (APC) were calculated. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate survival outcomes and identify potential prognostic factors.
The overall age-adjusted incidence of eyelid PMM rose from 0.039 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.012-0.088) in 1975 to 0.103 (95% CI, 0.070-0.143) per 100 000 population in 2016, with significant APC of 1.313% ( < 0.001). Male subjects showed a higher average age-adjusted incidence rate than female subjects ( < 0.001). Survival analyses showed that 5-year accumulative overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) for patients with eyelid PMM were 70.5% and 90.6%. Additionally, 10-year OS and DSS were 51.8% and 86.1%, respectively. Analyses of Kaplan-Meier survival curves with the log-rank test revealed that older age, White race, nodular melanoma, higher American Joint Committee on (AJCC) stage (II to IV), advanced stage, distant metastasis, and no-surgery treatment were associated with lower OS and DSS rates. Age, histology, AJCC stage, and stage at diagnosis were found to be independent predictors of OS and DSS in multivariate models.
The incidence of eyelid PMM increased with significant APC and male predominance. Age, histology, AJCC stage, and stage at diagnosis might be independent predictors of prognosis, emphasizing the importance of improved diagnosis of eyelid PMM.
近期尚无基于人群的眼睑原发性恶性黑色素瘤(PMM)流行病学趋势及生存情况的研究。我们的研究旨在评估最新的发病率趋势,并探讨影响眼睑PMM生存结局的因素。
从监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库中回顾性识别出1975年至2016年间诊断的1397例眼睑PMM病例。计算年龄调整发病率和年度百分比变化(APC)。采用Kaplan-Meier法和Cox比例风险回归模型计算生存结局并识别潜在的预后因素。
眼睑PMM的总体年龄调整发病率从1975年的每10万人0.039(95%置信区间[CI],0.012 - 0.088)上升至2016年的每10万人0.103(95%CI,0.070 - 0.143),年度百分比变化显著为1.313%(P < 0.001)。男性受试者的平均年龄调整发病率高于女性受试者(P < 0.001)。生存分析显示,眼睑PMM患者的5年累积总生存率(OS)和疾病特异性生存率(DSS)分别为70.5%和90.6%。此外,10年OS和DSS分别为51.8%和86.1%。对数秩检验的Kaplan-Meier生存曲线分析显示,年龄较大、白种人、结节性黑色素瘤、美国癌症联合委员会(AJCC)更高分期(II至IV期)、晚期、远处转移和未接受手术治疗与较低的OS和DSS率相关。在多变量模型中,年龄、组织学、AJCC分期和诊断时的分期被发现是OS和DSS的独立预测因素。
眼睑PMM的发病率显著上升且以男性为主。年龄、组织学、AJCC分期和诊断时的分期可能是预后的独立预测因素,强调了改善眼睑PMM诊断的重要性。