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金融新闻网络中的情感关联及其相关市场动向。

Sentiment correlation in financial news networks and associated market movements.

机构信息

Oxford-Man Institute of Quantitative Finance, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

School of Public Health, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2021 Feb 4;11(1):3062. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-82338-6.

Abstract

In an increasingly connected global market, news sentiment towards one company may not only indicate its own market performance, but can also be associated with a broader movement on the sentiment and performance of other companies from the same or even different sectors. In this paper, we apply NLP techniques to understand news sentiment of 87 companies among the most reported on Reuters for a period of 7 years. We investigate the propagation of such sentiment in company networks and evaluate the associated market movements in terms of stock price and volatility. Our results suggest that, in certain sectors, strong media sentiment towards one company may indicate a significant change in media sentiment towards related companies measured as neighbours in a financial network constructed from news co-occurrence. Furthermore, there exists a weak but statistically significant association between strong media sentiment and abnormal market return as well as volatility. Such an association is more significant at the level of individual companies, but nevertheless remains visible at the level of sectors or groups of companies.

摘要

在日益紧密相连的全球市场中,一家公司的新闻情绪不仅可能表明其自身的市场表现,还可能与同一行业甚至不同行业其他公司的情绪和表现的更广泛动向相关联。在本文中,我们应用 NLP 技术来理解路透社报道最多的 87 家公司的新闻情绪,时间跨度为 7 年。我们研究了这种情绪在公司网络中的传播,并根据股价和波动性来评估相关的市场动向。我们的研究结果表明,在某些行业中,一家公司的强烈媒体情绪可能表明,从新闻共现构建的金融网络中作为邻居的相关公司的媒体情绪发生了重大变化。此外,强烈的媒体情绪与异常市场回报和波动性之间存在微弱但具有统计学意义的关联。这种关联在个别公司层面更为显著,但在行业或公司群体层面仍然可见。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5820/7862280/15d5080a034f/41598_2021_82338_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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