School of Planning, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada.
Department of Geography and Environmental Management, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada.
Environ Manage. 2021 Apr;67(4):667-681. doi: 10.1007/s00267-021-01429-2. Epub 2021 Feb 5.
A tripartite environmental conflict over the Al-Hawizeh-Azim Marsh located in the Tigris River Basin is strategically investigated as an instance of a higher-level hydro-political conflict, using the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR). The GMCR+ Decision Support System is employed to investigate this intriguing dispute under the status quo and a potential hydro-political scenario considered to assess the efficacy of employing a suggested water diplomacy tool (option) as an alternative mechanism for resolving the conflict. The results of this exploratory conflict analysis study highlight the importance of the policy systems dominating the strategic behavior of the decision makers. Utilizing the option for water diplomacy would create new equilibria for equitably resolving this complex dispute, which would be beneficial for all decision makers if the proposed option and policy systems were adopted.
三方围绕底格里斯河流域的 Al-Hawizeh-Azim 沼泽地的环境冲突被战略性地作为一个更高层次的水政治冲突实例进行了研究，采用了冲突解决图模型（GMCR）。GMCR+决策支持系统被用来在现状和一个潜在的水政治情景下研究这个有趣的争议，以评估采用建议的水外交工具（选项）作为解决冲突的替代机制的效果。这项探索性冲突分析研究的结果强调了主导决策者战略行为的政策系统的重要性。如果采用拟议的选项和政策系统，利用水外交选项将为公平解决这一复杂争端创造新的平衡，这将对所有决策者都有利。
