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吸毒或酒驾:预测年轻司机的意图。

Driving under the influence of drugs or alcohol: Predicting the intentions of young drivers.

机构信息

Centre for Accident Research and Road Safety - Queensland (CARRS-Q), Queensland University of Technology (QUT), Brisbane, Australia.

出版信息

Traffic Inj Prev. 2021;22(2):97-101. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2020.1869953. Epub 2021 Feb 8.

Abstract

Driving under the influence (DUI) of drugs or alcohol impairs driving performance and, as a result, increases the risk of crashes. The risk of DUI is five-fold higher for young drivers (aged 18-25 years), but little is known about what determines their DUI intentions. This study applied an extended model of the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) to address the research question of what factors might influence young drivers' future intentions to DUI. This study used a survey obtaining data from 329 young drivers (Mage = 20.92 years,  = 2.16) in Australia. Beyond the standard TPB measures of attitudes, subjective norms and perceived behavioral control (PBC), the current study included demographic variables and additional predictors (i.e., moral norm, peers' norm, perceived risk, impulsivity and past DUI behavior). A vast majority of the participants (85.1%) selected the maximum (9, never), meaning that they had no intention to DUI in the future. Overall, a stepwise multilevel logistic regression analysis (Step 1: demographics, Step 2: TPB measures, and Step 3: additional predictors) explained between 30.1% and 52.9% of the variance in DUI intentions. It showed past DUI behavior as the strongest predictor of DUI intention, followed by instrumental attitude and descriptive norms. This study explored an extended TPB model to understand young drivers' DUI intentions better. With this new knowledge of understanding the factors that influence DUI, researchers and practitioners can create interventions and strategies that are better tailored to the population of young drivers at higher risk.

摘要

在药物或酒精的影响下开车会损害驾驶表现,从而增加事故的风险。年轻司机(18-25 岁)酒后驾车的风险高出五倍,但对于哪些因素决定了他们的酒后驾车意图知之甚少。本研究应用计划行为理论(TPB)的扩展模型来解决可能影响年轻司机未来酒后驾车意图的因素的研究问题。本研究使用问卷调查了来自澳大利亚的 329 名年轻司机(Mage = 20.92 岁, = 2.16)的数据。除了 TPB 标准的态度、主观规范和感知行为控制(PBC)测量外,本研究还包括人口统计学变量和其他预测因素(即道德规范、同伴规范、感知风险、冲动和过去的酒后驾车行为)。绝大多数参与者(85.1%)选择了最大值(9,从不),这意味着他们未来没有酒后驾车的意图。总体而言,逐步多级逻辑回归分析(步骤 1:人口统计学,步骤 2:TPB 测量,步骤 3:其他预测因素)解释了 DUI 意图 30.1%至 52.9%的方差。研究表明,过去的 DUI 行为是 DUI 意图的最强预测因素,其次是工具性态度和描述性规范。本研究探索了一个扩展的 TPB 模型,以更好地理解年轻司机的 DUI 意图。通过了解影响 DUI 的因素的新知识,研究人员和从业者可以创建更适合高风险年轻司机群体的干预措施和策略。

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