影响亚太国家遏制 COVID-19 成功水平的因素:基于社会生态系统(SES)框架的综述。

Factors Influencing Asia-Pacific Countries' Success Level in Curbing COVID-19: A Review Using a Social-Ecological System (SES) Framework.

机构信息

Faculty of Built Environment and Surveying, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Skudai 81310, Malaysia.

Tunku Abdul Rahman University College, Kuala Lumpur 53300, Malaysia.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Feb 10;18(4):1704. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18041704.

Abstract

Little attention has been paid to the impacts of institutional-human-environment dimensions on the outcome of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) abatement. Through the diagnostic social-ecological system (SES) framework, this review paper aimed to investigate what and how the multifaceted social, physical, and governance factors affected the success level of seven selected Asia-Pacific countries (namely, South Korea, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, Vietnam, Indonesia, and New Zealand) in combatting COVID-19. Drawing on statistical data from the Our World In Data website, we measured the COVID-19 severity or abatement success level of the countries on the basis of cumulative positive cases, average daily cases, and mortality rates for the period of 1 February 2020 to 30 June 2020. A qualitative content analysis using three codes, i.e., present (P), partially present (PP), and absent (A) for each SES attribute, as well as score calculation and rank ordering for government response effectiveness and the abatement success level across the countries, was undertaken. Not only did the standard coding process ensure data comparability but the data were deemed substantially reliable with Cohen's kappa of 0.76. Among 13 attributes of the SES factors, high facility adequacy, comprehensive COVID-19 testing policies, strict lockdown measures, imposition of penalty, and the high trust level towards the government seemed to be significant in determining the COVID-19 severity in a country. The results show that Vietnam (ranked first) and New Zealand (ranked second), with a high presence of attributes/design principles contributing to high-level government stringency and health and containment indices, successfully controlled the virus, while Indonesia (ranked seventh) and Japan (ranked sixth), associated with the low presence of design principles, were deemed least successful. Two lessons can be drawn: (i) having high number of P for SES attributes does not always mean a panacea for the pandemic; however, it would be detrimental to a country if it lacked them severely, and (ii) some attributes (mostly from the governance factor) may carry higher weightage towards explaining the success level. This comparative study providing an overview of critical SES attributes in relation to COVID-19 offers novel policy insights, thus helping policymakers devise more strategic, coordinated measures, particularly for effective country preparedness and response in addressing the current and the future health crisis.

摘要

人们很少关注制度-人-环境维度对 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)缓解结果的影响。通过诊断社会生态系统(SES)框架,本综述旨在探讨多方面的社会、物理和治理因素如何以及以何种方式影响七个选定的亚太国家(即韩国、日本、马来西亚、新加坡、越南、印度尼西亚和新西兰)抗击 COVID-19 的成功水平。利用 Our World In Data 网站的统计数据,我们根据累计阳性病例、平均每日病例和 2020 年 2 月 1 日至 6 月 30 日期间的死亡率,衡量各国 COVID-19 的严重程度或缓解成功水平。采用三种 SES 属性的每一个 SES 属性的代码(即 P、PP 和 A),以及政府应对有效性和各国缓解成功水平的得分计算和排名,进行定性内容分析。标准编码过程不仅确保了数据的可比性,而且数据具有很高的可靠性,科恩氏kappa 值为 0.76。在 SES 因素的 13 个属性中,高设施充足率、全面的 COVID-19 检测政策、严格的封锁措施、实施处罚以及对政府的高度信任似乎是决定一个国家 COVID-19 严重程度的重要因素。结果表明,越南(排名第一)和新西兰(排名第二),具有高水平的属性/设计原则,有助于政府采取严格的措施和提高卫生和遏制指数,成功地控制了病毒,而印度尼西亚(排名第七)和日本(排名第六),与低水平的设计原则相关联,被认为是最不成功的。可以得出两个教训:(i)SES 属性的 P 数量高并不总是对抗大流行的灵丹妙药;但是,如果严重缺乏这些属性,对一个国家来说将是有害的,(ii)某些属性(主要来自治理因素)可能对解释成功水平具有更高的权重。这项比较研究概述了与 COVID-19 相关的关键 SES 属性,提供了新的政策见解,从而帮助决策者制定更具战略性、协调性的措施,特别是在当前和未来的卫生危机中,为有效做好国家准备和应对提供帮助。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/eb5a/7916574/ff867fac39db/ijerph-18-01704-g001.jpg

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