MRC Integrated Epidemiology Unit, Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Aging Clin Exp Res. 2021 Mar;33(3):529-545. doi: 10.1007/s40520-020-01762-2. Epub 2021 Feb 15.
BACKGROUND: Osteoarthritis (OA) is a chronic joint disease, with increasing global burden of disability and healthcare utilisation. Recent meta-analyses have shown a range of effects of OA on mortality, reflecting different OA definitions and study methods. We seek to overcome limitations introduced when using aggregate results by gathering individual participant-level data (IPD) from international observational studies and standardising methods to determine the association of knee OA with mortality in the general population. METHODS: Seven community-based cohorts were identified containing knee OA-related pain, radiographs, and time-to-mortality, six of which were available for analysis. A two-stage IPD meta-analysis framework was applied: (1) Cox proportional hazard models assessed time-to-mortality of participants with radiographic OA (ROA), OA-related pain (POA), and a combination of pain and ROA (PROA) against pain and ROA-free participants; (2) hazard ratios (HR) were then pooled using the Hartung-Knapp modification for random-effects meta-analysis. FINDINGS: 10,723 participants in six cohorts from four countries were included in the analyses. Multivariable models (adjusting for age, sex, race, BMI, smoking, alcohol consumption, cardiovascular disease, and diabetes) showed a pooled HR, compared to pain and ROA-free participants, of 1.03 (0.83, 1.28) for ROA, 1.35 (1.12, 1.63) for POA, and 1.37 (1.22, 1.54) for PROA. DISCUSSION: Participants with POA or PROA had a 35-37% increased association with reduced time-to-mortality, independent of confounders. ROA showed no association with mortality, suggesting that OA-related knee pain may be driving the association with time-to-mortality. FUNDING: Versus Arthritis Centre for Sport, Exercise and Osteoarthritis and Osteoarthritis Research Society International.
背景:骨关节炎(OA)是一种慢性关节疾病,其导致的残疾和医疗保健利用的全球负担日益加重。最近的荟萃分析显示,OA 对死亡率的影响范围广泛,这反映了不同的 OA 定义和研究方法。我们试图通过从国际观察性研究中收集个体参与者水平的数据(IPD)并标准化方法来克服使用汇总结果时引入的局限性,以确定膝关节 OA 与普通人群死亡率之间的关联。
方法:确定了七个包含膝关节 OA 相关疼痛、影像学和死亡率的基于社区的队列,其中六个队列可用于分析。采用两阶段 IPD 荟萃分析框架:(1)Cox 比例风险模型评估影像学 OA(ROA)、OA 相关疼痛(POA)和疼痛与 ROA 组合(PROA)的参与者的死亡率,与疼痛和 ROA 无参与者相比;(2)然后使用 Hartung-Knapp 修正随机效应荟萃分析来汇总危险比(HR)。
结果:来自四个国家的六个队列的 10723 名参与者被纳入分析。多变量模型(调整年龄、性别、种族、BMI、吸烟、饮酒、心血管疾病和糖尿病)显示,与疼痛和 ROA 无参与者相比,ROA、POA 和 PROA 的汇总 HR 分别为 1.03(0.83,1.28)、1.35(1.12,1.63)和 1.37(1.22,1.54)。
讨论:POA 或 PROA 患者的死亡时间与死亡率降低的关联增加了 35-37%,独立于混杂因素。ROA 与死亡率无关,这表明与 OA 相关的膝关节疼痛可能是导致与死亡率相关的原因。
资金:VS 关节炎运动、锻炼和骨关节炎中心和国际骨关节炎研究协会。
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