Department of Digestive and Transplantation Surgery, Tokyo Medical University Hachioji Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan.
Department of Surgery, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
PLoS One. 2021 Feb 23;16(2):e0247675. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247675. eCollection 2021.
There is no gold standard indicator that is currently used to predict posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF). A novel indicator of liver function, the LU15 index of 99mTc-galactosyl serum albumin (GSA) scintigraphy, refers to the liver uptake ratio over a 15-min interval. We aimed to evaluate the usefulness of the future liver remnant (FLR)-LU15 in predicting PHLF. The clinical data of 102 patients (70 males and 32 females; median age, 70 years) who underwent liver resection between January 2011 and August 2019 were analyzed. The FLR-LU15 was calculated by a fusion of simulated 3-dimensional images and 99mTc-GSA scintigraphy. PHLF was determined according to the definition of the International Study Group of Liver Surgery. The FLR-LU15 was an independent risk factor for PHLF ≥ Grade B according to multivariate analysis, and its value correlated with the PHLF grade. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the FLR-LU15 for PHLF ≥ Grade B was 0.816 (95% confidence interval, 0.704-0.929), which was better than that of other indicators. When the cut-off value of FLR-LU15 was set at 16.7, the sensitivity was 86.7%, specificity was 74.7%, and odds ratio was 19.2 (95% confidence interval, 4.0-90.9), all of which were superior to other indicators. If the cut-off value was 13, the positive predictive value was 57.1%. The FLR-LU15 is a useful predictor of PHLF and may be more reliable than other predictors.
目前尚无预测肝切除术后肝功能衰竭(PHLF)的金标准指标。一种新的肝功能指标,99mTc-半乳糖白蛋白(GSA)闪烁显像的 LU15 指数,指的是 15 分钟间隔内的肝脏摄取率。我们旨在评估未来肝残留(FLR)-LU15 在预测 PHLF 中的作用。分析了 2011 年 1 月至 2019 年 8 月期间接受肝切除术的 102 例患者(70 名男性和 32 名女性;中位年龄为 70 岁)的临床数据。通过融合模拟 3 维图像和 99mTc-GSA 闪烁显像来计算 FLR-LU15。根据国际肝脏外科研究组的定义确定 PHLF。根据多因素分析,FLR-LU15 是 PHLF≥B 级的独立危险因素,其值与 PHLF 分级相关。FLR-LU15 预测 PHLF≥B 级的受试者工作特征曲线下面积为 0.816(95%置信区间,0.704-0.929),优于其他指标。当 FLR-LU15 的截断值设定为 16.7 时,敏感性为 86.7%,特异性为 74.7%,优势比为 19.2(95%置信区间,4.0-90.9),均优于其他指标。如果截断值为 13,则阳性预测值为 57.1%。FLR-LU15 是 PHLF 的一个有用预测指标,可能比其他预测指标更可靠。