Division of Medical Oncology and Hematology, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto, ON M5G 2C1, Canada.
Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, Canada.
Curr Oncol. 2020 Dec 21;28(1):107-114. doi: 10.3390/curroncol28010014.
We investigated the prognostic utility of pre-chemotherapy neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in patients with metastatic germ cell tumors (GCTs) undergoing first-line chemotherapy. We utilized two institutional databases to analyze the pretreatment-derived NLR (dNLR). Predictive accuracy was evaluated using the Cox proportional hazard model adjusted for the international germ cell cancer collaborative group (IGCCCG) risk classification. Discriminatory accuracy was evaluated by determining the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). In total, 569 of 690 patients had available dNLR (IGCCCG: good, 64%; intermediate, 21%; poor, 16%). The 5-year and 10-year overall survivals (OSs) for good, intermediate, and poor risk groups were 96.2%, 92.8%, and 62.7% and 93.9%, 90.3%, and 62.7%, respectively. A dNLR of 2 provided the best discriminatory accuracy with an AUROC of 0.58 (95% CI: 0.52-0.65, = 0.01) for progression-free survival (PFS), whereas for OS, a dNLR of 3 provided the best discriminatory accuracy with an AUROC of 0.62 (95% CI: 0.53-0.70, < 0.01). A dNLR > 2 was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.99 (95% CI: 1.27-3.12, < 0.01) for PFS, which lost its effect after adjustment for IGCCCG (HR: 1.44, 95% CI: 0.90-2.30, = 0.13). For OS, a dNLR >3 was associated with an HR of 3.00 (95% CI: 1.79-5.01, < 0.01), but lost its effect after adjustment for IGCCCG. Systemic inflammation plays a role in metastatic GCT, but its prognostic utility beyond established algorithms is limited. The general prognostic value of NLR can be seen across a number of tumors, although the consistency and magnitude of the effect differ according to cancer type, disease stage, and treatment received. We identified that an elevated NLR was associated with an adverse PFS and OS, but not independent of the IGCCCG risk classification. dNLRs >2 and >3 were associated with an adverse PFS and OS, respectively, in patients with metastatic GCT receiving first-line chemotherapy, but not independent of the IGCCCG risk classification.
我们研究了接受一线化疗的转移性生殖细胞瘤(GCT)患者化疗前中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)的预后价值。我们利用两个机构数据库来分析预处理 NLR(dNLR)。使用 Cox 比例风险模型对国际生殖细胞瘤癌症协作组(IGCCCG)风险分类进行调整,以评估预测准确性。通过确定接受者操作特征曲线(AUROC)下的面积来评估判别准确性。共有 690 例患者中的 569 例有可用的 dNLR(IGCCCG:良好,64%;中等,21%;差,16%)。良好、中等和差风险组的 5 年和 10 年总生存率(OS)分别为 96.2%、92.8%和 62.7%和 93.9%、90.3%和 62.7%。dNLR 为 2 时,无进展生存期(PFS)的判别准确性最佳,AUROC 为 0.58(95%CI:0.52-0.65, = 0.01),而对于 OS,dNLR 为 3 时,判别准确性最佳,AUROC 为 0.62(95%CI:0.53-0.70, < 0.01)。dNLR >2 与 PFS 的风险比(HR)为 1.99(95%CI:1.27-3.12, < 0.01),但在调整 IGCCCG 后失去作用(HR:1.44,95%CI:0.90-2.30, = 0.13)。对于 OS,dNLR >3 与 HR 为 3.00(95%CI:1.79-5.01, < 0.01)相关,但在调整 IGCCCG 后失去作用。全身炎症在转移性 GCT 中起作用,但超出既定算法的预后价值有限。NLR 的一般预后价值可见于多种肿瘤,但根据癌症类型、疾病阶段和接受的治疗,其影响的一致性和幅度不同。我们发现,升高的 NLR 与不良的 PFS 和 OS 相关,但与 IGCCCG 风险分类无关。在接受一线化疗的转移性 GCT 患者中,dNLRs >2 和 >3 分别与不良的 PFS 和 OS 相关,但与 IGCCCG 风险分类无关。