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qSOFA 评分可预测非创伤患者的急诊死亡率。

Emergency mortality of non-trauma patients was predicted by qSOFA score.

机构信息

Department of Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou City, Jiangsu Province, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2021 Feb 24;16(2):e0247577. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247577. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

This study was aimed to evaluate the performance of quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) in predicting the emergency department (ED) mortality of non-trauma patients and to expand the application scope of qSOFA score.

METHODS

A single, retrospective review of non-trauma patients was conducted in ED between November 1, 2016 and November 1, 2019. The qSOFA score was obtained from vital signs and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score. The outcome was ED mortality. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to explore the association between the qSOFA score and ED mortality. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve, the best cutoff value, sensitivity and specificity were performed to ascertain the predictive value of the qSOFA score.

RESULTS

228(1.96%) of the 11621 patients were died. The qSOFA score was statistically higher in the non-survival group (P<0.001). The qSOFA score 0 subgroup was used as reference baseline, after adjusting for gender and age, adjusted OR of 1, 2 and 3 subgroups were 4.77 (95%CI 3.40 to 6.70), 18.17 (95%CI 12.49 to 26.44) and 23.63 (95%CI 9.54 to 58.52). All these three subgroups show significantly higher ED mortality compared to qSOFA 0 subgroup (P<0.001). AUROC of qSOFA score was 0.76 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.79). The best cutoff value was 0, sensitivity was 77.63% (95%CI 71.7% to 82.9%), and specificity was 67.2% (95%CI 66.3% to 68.1%).

CONCLUSION

The qSOFA score was associated with ED mortality in non-trauma patients and showed good prognostic performance. It can be used as a general tool to evaluate non-trauma patients in ED. This is just a retrospective cohort study, a prospective or a randomized study will be required.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在评估快速序贯器官衰竭评估(qSOFA)在预测非创伤患者急诊(ED)死亡率方面的性能,并扩展 qSOFA 评分的应用范围。

方法

对 2016 年 11 月 1 日至 2019 年 11 月 1 日期间在 ED 就诊的非创伤患者进行单中心回顾性研究。qSOFA 评分通过生命体征和格拉斯哥昏迷评分(GCS)获得。结局为 ED 死亡率。采用多变量逻辑回归分析探讨 qSOFA 评分与 ED 死亡率之间的关系。绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积(AUROC)、最佳截断值、灵敏度和特异性,以确定 qSOFA 评分的预测价值。

结果

在 11621 例患者中,有 228 例(1.96%)死亡。非存活组的 qSOFA 评分明显更高(P<0.001)。以 qSOFA 评分为 0 的亚组为参考基线,调整性别和年龄后,qSOFA 评分为 1、2 和 3 的亚组的调整比值比(OR)分别为 4.77(95%可信区间 3.40 至 6.70)、18.17(95%可信区间 12.49 至 26.44)和 23.63(95%可信区间 9.54 至 58.52)。与 qSOFA 0 亚组相比,这三个亚组的 ED 死亡率均显著升高(P<0.001)。qSOFA 评分的 AUROC 为 0.76(95%可信区间 0.73 至 0.79)。最佳截断值为 0,灵敏度为 77.63%(95%可信区间 71.7%至 82.9%),特异性为 67.2%(95%可信区间 66.3%至 68.1%)。

结论

qSOFA 评分与非创伤患者的 ED 死亡率相关,具有良好的预后预测性能。它可以作为评估 ED 中非创伤患者的一般工具。这只是一项回顾性队列研究,需要进行前瞻性或随机研究。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4de/7904145/74522429c145/pone.0247577.g001.jpg

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