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序贯治疗索拉非尼-瑞戈非尼与索拉非尼-医生选择:倾向评分匹配分析。

Sequential Treatment of Sorafenib-Regorafenib Versus Sorafenib-Physician's Choice: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis.

机构信息

Department of Oncology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.

Early Phase Clinical Trial Unit, Department of Oncology, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padua, Italy.

出版信息

Target Oncol. 2021 May;16(3):401-410. doi: 10.1007/s11523-021-00797-3. Epub 2021 Mar 1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Regorafenib has been shown to improve clinical outcomes compared to placebo, becoming a standard second-line therapy for sorafenib-progressed and -tolerated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.

OBJECTIVE

We performed a multicentre, retrospective study in Italy and Korea to evaluate the effectiveness of the treatment sequence sorafenib-regorafenib compared with sorafenib and physician's choice in a real-life setting.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A propensity score model was developed to control the results for baseline variable imbalances between the arm treated with sorafenib and regorafenib (S-R) and the arm treated with sorafenib and physician's choice (S-P). Survival analysis was conducted on the matched population.

RESULTS

After the application of propensity score matching, we analysed 99 patients in the arm treated with S-R and 99 patients in the arm treated with S-P. For the S-R group, the median overall survival was 22.2 months (95% CI 17.1-27.4), compared to 17.9 months (95% CI 15.1-50.0) for the S-P group. The results of the univariate analysis showed a 31% reduction of death risk for patients treated with S-R (p = 0.0382) compared to patients treated with S-P. Interaction tests highlighted the predictive role of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and extrahepatic spread.

CONCLUSION

This study provides additional proof of the superiority of the S-R treatment over the S-P treatment approach in advanced HCC patients from a real-life setting.

摘要

背景

与安慰剂相比,regorafenib 已显示出可改善临床结局,成为索拉非尼进展且可耐受的肝细胞癌(HCC)患者的标准二线治疗方法。

目的

我们在意大利和韩国进行了一项多中心、回顾性研究,旨在评估索拉非尼-regorafenib 治疗方案与索拉非尼和医生选择在真实环境中的治疗顺序的有效性。

患者和方法

采用倾向评分模型来控制索拉非尼-regorafenib 治疗组(S-R 组)和索拉非尼-医生选择治疗组(S-P 组)之间基线变量不平衡的结果。对匹配人群进行生存分析。

结果

在应用倾向评分匹配后,我们分析了 S-R 组的 99 例患者和 S-P 组的 99 例患者。S-R 组的中位总生存期为 22.2 个月(95%CI 17.1-27.4),而 S-P 组为 17.9 个月(95%CI 15.1-50.0)。单因素分析结果显示,S-R 组患者的死亡风险降低了 31%(p=0.0382)。交互检验突出了甲胎蛋白(AFP)、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)和肝外扩散的预测作用。

结论

本研究从真实环境角度为晚期 HCC 患者提供了 S-R 治疗优于 S-P 治疗的额外证据。

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