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巴西囊性纤维化相关死亡率趋势:1999-2017 年多死因研究

Cystic fibrosis-related mortality trends in Brazil for the 1999-2017 period: a multiple-cause-of-death study.

机构信息

. Faculdade de Saúde Pública, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo (SP) Brasil (aposentado).

. Instituto da Criança, Hospital das Clínicas, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo (SP) Brasil.

出版信息

J Bras Pneumol. 2021 Feb 24;47(2):e20200166. doi: 10.36416/1806-3756/e20200166. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To describe causes of death and mortality data related to cystic fibrosis (CF) using a multiple-cause-of-death methodology.

METHODS

Annual mortality data for the 1999-2017 period were extracted from the Brazilian National Ministry of Health Mortality Database. All death certificates in which category E84 (CF) of the ICD-10, was listed as an underlying or associated cause of death were selected. Epidemiological and clinical data were described, and standardized mortality rates were calculated per year and for the 2000-2017 period. A joinpoint regression analysis was performed to detect changes in the mortality rates during the study period.

RESULTS

Overall, 2,854 CF-related deaths were identified during the study period, ranging from 68 in 1999 to 289 in 2017. CF was the underlying cause of death in 83.5% of the death certificates. A continuous upward trend in the death rates was observed, with a significant annual percent change of 6.84% (5.3-8.4%) among males and 7.50% (6.6-8.4%) among females. The median age at death increased from 7.5 years in 1999 to 56.5 years in 2017. Diseases of the respiratory system accounted for 77% of the associated causes in the death certificates that reported CF as the underlying cause of death.

CONCLUSIONS

A significant and continuous increase in CF-related death rates was found in Brazil in the last years, as well as a concurrent increase in the median age at death.

摘要

目的

采用多死因分析法描述囊性纤维化(CF)的死亡原因和死亡率数据。

方法

从巴西国家卫生部死亡率数据库中提取了 1999-2017 年期间的年度死亡率数据。选择所有将 ICD-10 中 E84(CF)类别列为根本或相关死因的死亡证明。描述了流行病学和临床数据,并按年和 2000-2017 年期间计算了标准化死亡率。进行了 joinpoint 回归分析,以检测研究期间死亡率的变化。

结果

在研究期间,共发现 2854 例与 CF 相关的死亡病例,从 1999 年的 68 例到 2017 年的 289 例不等。CF 是 83.5%死亡证明的根本死因。死亡率呈持续上升趋势,男性的年百分比变化率为 6.84%(5.3-8.4%),女性为 7.50%(6.6-8.4%)。死亡时的中位年龄从 1999 年的 7.5 岁增加到 2017 年的 56.5 岁。在报告 CF 为根本死因的死亡证明中,呼吸系统疾病占相关死因的 77%。

结论

在过去几年中,巴西 CF 相关死亡率呈显著且持续上升趋势,同时死亡时的中位年龄也在同步增加。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f501/8332834/34c3510071d2/1806-3756-jbpneu-47-02-e20200166-gf1.jpg

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