Centre for Health Professions Education, Faculty of Health Sciences, North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, Building PC-G16, Office 101,11 Hoffman St, Potchefstroom, 2520, North West Province, South Africa.
World Health Organisation, Regional Office for Africa. Universal Health Coverage - Life Course Cluster Intercountry Support Team for Eastern and Southern Africa 82 - 86 Cnr Enterprise/Glenara Roads Highlands, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Health Policy Plan. 2021 Sep 9;36(8):1325-1343. doi: 10.1093/heapol/czab022.
Although the theoretical underpinnings and analytical framework for needs-based health workforce planning are well developed and tested, its uptake in national planning processes is still limited. Towards the development of open-access needs-based planning model for national workforce planning, we conducted a systematic scoping review of analytical applications of needs-based health workforce models. Guided by the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses-extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) checklist, a systematic scoping review was conducted. A systematic search of peer-reviewed literature published in English was undertaken across several databases. Papers retrieved were assessed against predefined inclusion criteria, critically appraised, extracted and synthesized. Twenty-five papers were included, which showed increasing uptake of the needs-based health workforce modelling, with 84% of the studies published within the last decade (2010-20). Three countries (Canada, Australia and England) accounted for 48% of the publications included whilst four studies (16%) were based on low-and-middle-income countries. Only three of the studies were conducted in sub-Saharan Africa. Most of the studies (36%) reported analytical applications for specific disease areas/programs at sub-national levels; 20% focused on the health system need for particular categories of health workers, and only two (8%) reported the analytical application of the needs-based health workforce approach at the level of a national health system across several disease areas/programs. Amongst the studies that conducted long-term projections, the time horizon of the projection was an average of 17 years, ranging from 3 to 33 years. Most of these studies had a minimum time horizon of 10 years. Across the studies, we synthesized six typical methodological considerations for advancing needs-based health workforce modelling. As countries aspire to align health workforce investments with population health needs, the need for some level of methodological harmonization, open-access needs-based models and guidelines for policy-oriented country-level use is not only imperative but urgent.
尽管基于需求的卫生人力规划的理论基础和分析框架已经得到了很好的发展和验证,但它在国家规划过程中的应用仍然有限。为了开发基于需求的国家卫生人力规划的开放获取规划模型,我们对基于需求的卫生人力模型的分析应用进行了系统的范围综述。在《系统评价和荟萃分析扩展的首选报告项目(PRISMA-ScR)清单》的指导下,进行了系统的范围综述。在几个数据库中对以英语发表的同行评议文献进行了系统搜索。根据预先确定的纳入标准评估检索到的论文,进行批判性评估、提取和综合。共纳入 25 篇论文,表明基于需求的卫生人力建模的应用越来越多,其中 84%的研究是在过去十年(2010-20 年)发表的。三个国家(加拿大、澳大利亚和英国)占纳入研究的 48%,而四项研究(16%)基于中低收入国家。仅有三项研究在撒哈拉以南非洲进行。大多数研究(36%)报告了在次国家级特定疾病领域/计划中的分析应用;20%侧重于特定类别的卫生工作者对卫生系统的需求,只有两项(8%)报告了在几个疾病领域/计划中基于需求的卫生人力方法的分析应用。在进行长期预测的研究中,预测的时间范围平均为 17 年,范围从 3 年到 33 年。这些研究中大多数的时间范围都至少为 10 年。在这些研究中,我们综合了推进基于需求的卫生人力建模的六个典型方法学考虑因素。随着各国渴望使卫生人力投资与人口健康需求保持一致,在一定程度上需要方法学协调、开放获取的基于需求的模型以及面向政策的国家层面使用指南,这不仅是必要的,而且是紧迫的。