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模拟目标试验以评估姑息治疗咨询对肝细胞癌患者生存时间的因果效应。

Emulation of a Target Trial to Evaluate the Causal Effect of Palliative Care Consultation on the Survival Time of Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

作者信息

Buranupakorn Tassaya, Thangsuk Phaviga, Patumanond Jayanton, Phinyo Phichayut

机构信息

Department of Family Medicine, Chiang Rai Prachanukroh Hospital, Chiang Rai 57000, Thailand.

Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Clinical Statistics, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai 50200, Thailand.

出版信息

Cancers (Basel). 2021 Feb 27;13(5):992. doi: 10.3390/cancers13050992.

DOI:10.3390/cancers13050992
PMID:33673534
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7956840/
Abstract

Palliative care has the potential to improve the quality of life of patients with incurable diseases or cancer, such as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). A common misconception of palliative care with respect to the patient's survival remains a significant barrier to the discipline. This study aimed to provide causal evidence for the effect of palliative care consultation on the survival time after diagnosis among HCC patients. An emulation of a target trial was conducted on a retrospective cohort of HCC patients from January 2017 to August 2019. The primary endpoint was the restricted mean survival time (RMST) at 12 months after HCC diagnosis. We used the clone-censor-weight approach to account for potential immortal time bias. In this study, 86 patients with palliative care consultation and 71 patients without palliative care consultation were included. The adjusted RMST difference was -29.7 (95% confidence interval (CI): -81.7, 22.3; -value = 0.263) days in favor of no palliative care consultation. However, palliative care consultation was associated with an increase in the prescription of symptom control medications, as well as a reduction in life-sustaining interventions and healthcare costs. Our findings suggest that palliative care consultation was associated with neither additional survival benefit nor harm in HCC patients. The misconception that it significantly accelerates the dying process should be disregarded.

摘要

姑息治疗有潜力改善患有不治之症或癌症(如肝细胞癌(HCC))患者的生活质量。对于患者生存而言,对姑息治疗的一个常见误解仍然是该学科的一个重大障碍。本研究旨在为姑息治疗会诊对HCC患者诊断后生存时间的影响提供因果证据。对2017年1月至2019年8月的HCC患者回顾性队列进行了目标试验模拟。主要终点是HCC诊断后12个月的受限平均生存时间(RMST)。我们使用克隆删失加权法来考虑潜在的不朽时间偏倚。本研究纳入了86例接受姑息治疗会诊的患者和71例未接受姑息治疗会诊的患者。调整后的RMST差异为-29.7天(95%置信区间(CI):-81.7,22.3;P值 = 0.263),有利于未接受姑息治疗会诊的患者。然而,姑息治疗会诊与症状控制药物处方的增加、维持生命干预措施的减少以及医疗费用的降低相关。我们的研究结果表明,姑息治疗会诊对HCC患者既无额外的生存益处也无危害。那种认为它会显著加速死亡过程的误解应该被摒弃。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/78df/7956840/9c2f003a5c37/cancers-13-00992-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/78df/7956840/6bbae2337532/cancers-13-00992-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/78df/7956840/4df65600189d/cancers-13-00992-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/78df/7956840/9c2f003a5c37/cancers-13-00992-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/78df/7956840/6bbae2337532/cancers-13-00992-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/78df/7956840/4df65600189d/cancers-13-00992-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/78df/7956840/9c2f003a5c37/cancers-13-00992-g003.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Int J Epidemiol. 2021 May 17;50(2):694-695. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyaa223.
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Palliative care in hepatocellular carcinoma.肝细胞癌的姑息治疗
J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2021 Mar;36(3):618-628. doi: 10.1111/jgh.15169. Epub 2020 Jul 15.
3
Natural disease progression and novel survival prediction model for hepatocellular carcinoma with spinal metastases: a 10-year single-center study.
自然病程和新型生存预测模型用于伴有脊柱转移的肝细胞癌:一项 10 年单中心研究。
World J Surg Oncol. 2020 Jun 20;18(1):135. doi: 10.1186/s12957-020-01913-9.
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Reflection on modern methods: trial emulation in the presence of immortal-time bias. Assessing the benefit of major surgery for elderly lung cancer patients using observational data.对现代方法的思考:存在不朽时间偏倚时的试验模拟。利用观察性数据评估老年肺癌患者接受大手术的获益。
Int J Epidemiol. 2020 Oct 1;49(5):1719-1729. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyaa057.
5
Doubly Robust Estimation of Causal Effect: Upping the Odds of Getting the Right Answers.因果效应的双重稳健估计:提高得出正确答案的几率。
Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes. 2020 Jan;13(1):e006065. doi: 10.1161/CIRCOUTCOMES.119.006065. Epub 2019 Dec 31.
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Early palliative care referral in patients with end stage liver disease is associated with reduced resource utilisation.晚期肝病患者早期接受姑息治疗与资源利用减少有关。
J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2019 Oct 15. doi: 10.1111/jgh.14877.
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