Emergency and Trauma Center, Kameda Medical Center, 929, Higashicho, Kamogawa, Chiba, 296-8602, Japan.
Division of Acute and Critical Care Medicine, Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, Sapporo, Japan.
Sci Rep. 2021 Mar 5;11(1):5347. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-84743-3.
Previous studies have shown inconsistent prognostic accuracy for mortality with both quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) and the systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria. We aimed to validate the accuracy of qSOFA and the SIRS criteria for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with suspected infection in the emergency department. A prospective study was conducted including participants with suspected infection who were hospitalised or died in 34 emergency departments in Japan. Prognostic accuracy of qSOFA and SIRS criteria for in-hospital mortality was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. Of the 1060 participants, 402 (37.9%) and 915 (86.3%) had qSOFA ≥ 2 and SIRS criteria ≥ 2 (given thresholds), respectively, and there were 157 (14.8%) in-hospital deaths. Greater accuracy for in-hospital mortality was shown with qSOFA than with the SIRS criteria (AUROC: 0.64 versus 0.52, difference + 0.13, 95% CI [+ 0.07, + 0.18]). Sensitivity and specificity for predicting in-hospital mortality at the given thresholds were 0.55 and 0.65 based on qSOFA and 0.88 and 0.14 based on SIRS criteria, respectively. To predict in-hospital mortality in patients visiting to the emergency department with suspected infection, qSOFA was demonstrated to be modestly more accurate than the SIRS criteria albeit insufficiently sensitive.Clinical Trial Registration: The study was pre-registered in the University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN000027258).
先前的研究表明,快速序贯器官衰竭评估(qSOFA)和全身炎症反应综合征(SIRS)标准对死亡率的预后准确性不一致。我们旨在验证 qSOFA 和 SIRS 标准在预测急诊科疑似感染患者住院死亡率方面的准确性。这是一项前瞻性研究,包括在日本 34 个急诊科住院或死亡的疑似感染患者。通过受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积(AUROC)评估 qSOFA 和 SIRS 标准对住院死亡率的预后准确性。在 1060 名参与者中,分别有 402 名(37.9%)和 915 名(86.3%)的 qSOFA≥2 和 SIRS 标准≥2(给定阈值),有 157 名(14.8%)患者住院死亡。qSOFA 对住院死亡率的准确性高于 SIRS 标准(AUROC:0.64 与 0.52,差异+0.13,95%CI[+0.07,+0.18])。根据 qSOFA,预测住院死亡率的给定阈值的敏感性和特异性分别为 0.55 和 0.65,而根据 SIRS 标准,敏感性和特异性分别为 0.88 和 0.14。在预测急诊科疑似感染患者的住院死亡率方面,qSOFA 被证明比 SIRS 标准略为准确,尽管敏感性不足。
该研究已在大学医院医疗信息网络临床试验注册处(UMIN000027258)进行了预注册。