Department of Clinical Infectious Diseases, Aichi Medical University Hospital, Aichi, Japan; Department of Infection Control and Prevention, Aichi Medical University Hospital, Japan.
Division of Biostatistics, Clinical Research Center, Aichi Medical University Hospital, Japan.
J Infect Chemother. 2021 Jun;27(6):919-923. doi: 10.1016/j.jiac.2021.02.024. Epub 2021 Mar 4.
While necrotizing fasciitis (NF) is a rare but rapidly progressive devastating soft tissue infectious disease showing a high in-hospital mortality rate of 20-30%, there are no evidence-based predictive tools.
For the purpose of examining which predictive tools could correctly reflect the severity and prognosis of NF, we retrospectively reviewed all patients who were diagnosed with NF at our institute. The disease severity was evaluated by quick SOFA (qSOFA), SOFA score, SIRS score, APACHE II score, LRINEC score and the combined score of qSOFA and CCI.
A total of 27 patients were enrolled in this study. The median age was 68 years (range 39-96 years). With respect to the predictive values for in-hospital mortality among NF patients, the area under the ROC curve for qSOFA, SOFA score, APACHE II score, the combined score of qSOFA and CCI were 0.653 (p = 0.192), 0.588 (p = 0.12), 0.709 (p = 0.075) and 0.782 (p = 0.016) respectively. A univariate analysis showed that the combined score of qSOFA and CCI≥5 and the initial treatment failure were poor prognostic indicators for the in-hospital death among NF patients. The appropriate cut-offs of qSOFA and CCI were based on the Youden Index.
We concluded that the combined score of qSOFA and CCI could reflect the severity and prognosis of NF for in-hospital death.
坏死性筋膜炎(NF)是一种罕见但迅速进展的破坏性软组织感染性疾病,院内死亡率高达 20-30%,目前尚无基于证据的预测工具。
为了研究哪些预测工具能够正确反映 NF 的严重程度和预后,我们回顾性分析了在我院诊断为 NF 的所有患者。使用快速 SOFA(qSOFA)、SOFA 评分、SIRS 评分、APACHE II 评分、LRINEC 评分和 qSOFA 与 CCI 联合评分评估疾病严重程度。
本研究共纳入 27 例患者,中位年龄为 68 岁(39-96 岁)。对于 NF 患者院内死亡率的预测价值,qSOFA、SOFA 评分、APACHE II 评分、qSOFA 与 CCI 联合评分的 ROC 曲线下面积分别为 0.653(p=0.192)、0.588(p=0.12)、0.709(p=0.075)和 0.782(p=0.016)。单因素分析显示,qSOFA 与 CCI 联合评分≥5 和初始治疗失败是 NF 患者院内死亡的不良预后指标。根据约登指数确定了 qSOFA 和 CCI 的适当截断值。
我们得出结论,qSOFA 与 CCI 联合评分可以反映 NF 严重程度和院内死亡的预后。