La Barbera Francesco, Ajzen Icek
Department of Political Sciences, University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy.
Department of Psychological and Brain Sciences, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, MA, USA.
Eur J Psychol. 2020 Aug 31;16(3):437-457. doi: 10.5964/ejop.v16i3.1844. eCollection 2020 Aug.
Recent events, such as failed constitutional referenda, low voting turnout in the European Union parliamentary elections, and the 2016 Brexit referendum in the United Kingdom call for a better understanding of people's voting behavior in relation to the EU. The current study is the first attempt to use the theory of planned behavior to explore the antecedents of voting for EU integration in an Italian convenience sample (N = 441) of varying age. A structural equation model of voting intentions showed an excellent fit to the data, both for the whole sample and for subsamples of young vs. old participants. Perceived behavioral control, mainly determined by participants' beliefs about the difficulties of exerting direct democratic control through citizenship and voting, had a significant effect on intentions to vote in favor of EU integration across age groups. In addition, older people's intentions were also affected by their attitude towards EU integration, based primarily on their beliefs about losing national identity.
近期发生的一些事件，如宪法公投失败、欧盟议会选举投票率低以及2016年英国脱欧公投等，都促使我们更好地理解人们在与欧盟相关问题上的投票行为。本研究首次尝试运用计划行为理论，在一个年龄各异的意大利便利样本（N = 441）中探究支持欧盟一体化投票行为的影响因素。投票意向的结构方程模型显示，无论是对整个样本还是年轻与年长参与者的子样本，该模型与数据的拟合度都非常好。感知行为控制主要由参与者对通过公民身份和投票实施直接民主控制的困难的信念所决定，对各年龄组支持欧盟一体化的投票意向有显著影响。此外，老年人的投票意向还受到他们对欧盟一体化的态度影响，这种态度主要基于他们对失去国家身份的信念。
