审慎的风险：保守的风险评估如何扭曲监管

The perils of prudence: how conservative risk assessments distort regulation.

作者信息

Nichols A L, Zeckhauser R J

机构信息

John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138.

出版信息

Regul Toxicol Pharmacol. 1988 Mar;8(1):61-75. doi: 10.1016/0273-2300(88)90007-4.

DOI:10.1016/0273-2300(88)90007-4

PMID:3368587

Abstract

An analysis of several agencies' risk assessments reveals that the present conservative approach through several stages of estimates of amounts of regulated substances, the exposure levels, and cancer risks often tends to distort the actual final regulation. Changes in this process are desirable and possible and would reduce overestimation of cancer risk assessments. These possible changes are discussed.

摘要

对几家机构风险评估的分析表明，目前通过对受管制物质数量、接触水平和癌症风险进行几个阶段估算的保守方法，往往会扭曲实际的最终监管。这一过程中的变化是可取且可行的，并且会减少对癌症风险评估的高估。本文讨论了这些可能的变化。