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日本的满月与院外心脏骤停——基于人群的双对照病例系列分析

Full Moon and Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest in Japan - Population-Based, Double-Controlled Case Series Analysis.

作者信息

Sado Junya, Morikawa Kosuke, Hattori Satoshi, Kiyohara Kosuke, Matsuyama Tasuku, Izawa Junichi, Iwami Taku, Kitamura Yuri, Sobue Tomotaka, Kitamura Tetsuhisa

机构信息

Medicine for Sports and Performing Arts, Department of Health and Sport Sciences, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine Osaka Japan.

Graduate School of Engineering Science, Osaka University Osaka Japan.

出版信息

Circ Rep. 2019 May 8;1(5):212-218. doi: 10.1253/circrep.CR-18-0030.

Abstract

It is commonly believed that a full moon affects human behavior or the occurrence and outcome of various diseases; thus, the occurrence of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) might increase during full moon nights. This nationwide, population-based observational study consecutively enrolled OHCA patients in Japan with attempted resuscitation between 2005 and 2016. The primary outcome measure was the occurrence of OHCA. Based on the double-control method, assuming Poisson sampling, we evaluated the average number of OHCA events that occurred on full moon nights compared with that which occurred on control nights, which included events that occurred on the same calendar days 1 week before and after the full moon nights. A total of 29,552 OHCA that occurred on 148 full moon nights and 58,707 OHCA that occurred on 296 control nights were eligible for analysis. The occurrence of OHCA did not differ between full moon and control nights (199.7 vs. 198.3 per night; relative risk [RR], 1.007; 95% CI: 0.993-1.021). On subgroup analysis, compared with control nights, the RR of OHCA occurrence were 1.013 (95% CI: 0.994-1.032, P=0.166) and 0.998 (95% CI: 0.977-1.020, P=0.866) for cardiac and non-cardiac origins, respectively. In this population, there was no significant difference in OHCA occurrence between full moon and control nights.

摘要

人们普遍认为满月会影响人类行为或各种疾病的发生及转归;因此,院外心脏骤停(OHCA)的发生率可能会在满月之夜增加。这项基于全国人口的观察性研究连续纳入了2005年至2016年间在日本接受复苏尝试的OHCA患者。主要结局指标是OHCA的发生情况。基于双对照方法,假设为泊松抽样,我们评估了满月之夜发生的OHCA事件的平均数量,并与对照之夜(包括满月之夜前后1周同一日历日发生的事件)发生的数量进行比较。共有148个满月之夜发生的29,552例OHCA和296个对照之夜发生的58,707例OHCA符合分析条件。OHCA的发生率在满月之夜和对照之夜之间没有差异(每晚199.7例对198.3例;相对风险[RR],1.007;95%可信区间:0.993 - 1.021)。亚组分析显示,与对照之夜相比,心脏源性和非心脏源性OHCA发生的RR分别为1.013(95%可信区间:0.994 - 1.032,P = 0.166)和0.998(95%可信区间:0.977 - 1.020,P = 0.866)。在这一人群中,满月之夜和对照之夜OHCA的发生率没有显著差异。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7a22/7889489/ce9abc277f17/circrep-1-212-g001.jpg

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