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满月与交通事故相关的急诊救护车转运:一项全国范围内的病例交叉研究。

Full moon and traffic accident-related emergency ambulance transport: A nationwide case-crossover study.

机构信息

Department of Health Communication, Kyushu University Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Fukuoka, Japan; Department of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiologic Informatics, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Osaka, Japan.

Department of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiologic Informatics, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Osaka, Japan.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2018 Dec 10;644:801-805. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.07.053. Epub 2018 Jul 11.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Several studies have examined the association between environmental factors and traffic accidents. However, the role of a full moon in triggering emergency ambulance transport due to road traffic casualties is unclear. Thus, we aimed to examine whether a full moon contributes to the incidence of emergency transport due to road traffic crashes.

METHODS

We acquired nationwide data on daily emergency transport due to road traffic crashes from all 47 prefectures of Japan from 2010 to 2014. We conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study using conditional Poisson regression to examine the relationship between the occurrence of a full moon and emergency transport due to road traffic crashes for each prefecture. Prefecture-level results were combined using a random-effects meta-analysis to evaluate nation-level estimates.

RESULTS

There were 842,554 cases of emergency transport due to road traffic crashes across 1826 nights (62 full moon nights: n = 29,584; 1764 control nights: n = 812,970). On days with a full moon, the pooled adjusted relative risk (RR) of emergency transport due to traffic accidents was 1.042 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.021-1.063). Overall, 4.03% (95% CI: 2.06-5.93) of the cases (1192 cases) were attributable to full moon nights. Stratified analyses revealed a significant increase in emergency transport due to traffic accidents on full moon nights for males, people aged ≥40 years, and before midnight.

CONCLUSIONS

Full moon nights are associated with an increase in the incidence of emergency transport due to road traffic crashes. These results indicate that public health strategies should account for full moon nights to decrease emergency transport due to traffic accidents.

摘要

背景

已有多项研究探讨了环境因素与交通事故之间的关系。然而,满月是否会导致因道路交通伤害而需要紧急救护车转运,目前尚不清楚。因此,我们旨在研究满月是否会导致因道路交通碰撞而需要紧急转运的发生率增加。

方法

我们从 2010 年至 2014 年获取了日本所有 47 个县因道路交通碰撞导致的每日紧急转运的全国数据。我们采用条件泊松回归进行时间分层病例交叉研究,以检验每个县满月与因道路交通碰撞导致的紧急转运之间的关系。使用随机效应荟萃分析合并县级结果,以评估全国水平的估计值。

结果

在 1826 个夜晚(62 个满月夜:n=29584;1764 个对照夜:n=812970)中,发生了 842554 例因道路交通碰撞导致的紧急转运。在满月日,因交通事故而紧急转运的 pooled 调整后相对风险(RR)为 1.042(95%置信区间[CI]:1.021-1.063)。总体而言,4.03%(95%CI:2.06-5.93)的病例(1192 例)归因于满月夜。分层分析显示,男性、年龄≥40 岁的人群以及午夜前,满月夜因交通事故而紧急转运的发生率显著增加。

结论

满月夜与因道路交通碰撞导致的紧急转运发生率增加有关。这些结果表明,公共卫生策略应考虑满月夜,以减少因交通事故而需要的紧急转运。

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