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瑞典 COVID-19 诊断、住院和随后全因死亡率的危险因素:一项全国性研究。

Risk factors for COVID-19 diagnosis, hospitalization, and subsequent all-cause mortality in Sweden: a nationwide study.

机构信息

Unit of Geriatric Medicine, Department of Community Medicine and Rehabilitation, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.

Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Section of Sustainable Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.

出版信息

Eur J Epidemiol. 2021 Mar;36(3):287-298. doi: 10.1007/s10654-021-00732-w. Epub 2021 Mar 11.

DOI:10.1007/s10654-021-00732-w
PMID:33704634
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7946619/
Abstract

We conducted a nationwide, registry-based study to investigate the importance of 34 potential risk factors for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) diagnosis, hospitalization (with or without intensive care unit [ICU] admission), and subsequent all-cause mortality. The study population comprised all COVID-19 cases confirmed in Sweden by mid-September 2020 (68,575 non-hospitalized, 2494 ICU hospitalized, and 13,589 non-ICU hospitalized) and 434,081 randomly sampled general-population controls. Older age was the strongest risk factor for hospitalization, although the odds of ICU hospitalization decreased after 60-69 years and, after controlling for other risk factors, the odds of non-ICU hospitalization showed no trend after 40-49 years. Residence in a long-term care facility was associated with non-ICU hospitalization. Male sex and the presence of at least one investigated comorbidity or prescription medication were associated with both ICU and non-ICU hospitalization. Three comorbidities associated with both ICU and non-ICU hospitalization were asthma, hypertension, and Down syndrome. History of cancer was not associated with COVID-19 hospitalization, but cancer in the past year was associated with non-ICU hospitalization, after controlling for other risk factors. Cardiovascular disease was weakly associated with non-ICU hospitalization for COVID-19, but not with ICU hospitalization, after adjustment for other risk factors. Excess mortality was observed in both hospitalized and non-hospitalized COVID-19 cases. These results confirm that severe COVID-19 is related to age, sex, and comorbidity in general. The study provides new evidence that hypertension, asthma, Down syndrome, and residence in a long-term care facility are associated with severe COVID-19.

摘要

我们进行了一项全国性的基于登记的研究,旨在调查 34 个潜在的 COVID-19 危险因素对 COVID-19 诊断、住院(包括 ICU 住院和非 ICU 住院)和随后全因死亡率的重要性。研究人群包括 2020 年 9 月中旬在瑞典确诊的所有 COVID-19 病例(68575 例非住院、2494 例 ICU 住院和 13589 例非 ICU 住院)和 434081 名随机抽样的一般人群对照。年龄较大是住院的最强危险因素,但在 60-69 岁之后 ICU 住院的可能性降低,并且在控制其他危险因素后,40-49 岁之后非 ICU 住院的可能性没有趋势。居住在长期护理机构与非 ICU 住院有关。男性和至少一种调查的合并症或处方药物与 ICU 和非 ICU 住院都有关。与 ICU 和非 ICU 住院都有关的三种合并症是哮喘、高血压和唐氏综合征。癌症史与 COVID-19 住院无关,但在控制其他危险因素后,过去一年的癌症与非 ICU 住院有关。心血管疾病与 COVID-19 的非 ICU 住院相关,但与 ICU 住院无关,在调整其他危险因素后。住院和非住院 COVID-19 病例都观察到超额死亡率。这些结果证实,严重的 COVID-19 与年龄、性别和一般合并症有关。该研究提供了新的证据,表明高血压、哮喘、唐氏综合征和居住在长期护理机构与严重的 COVID-19 有关。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d7a/8032574/6011047ae1b6/10654_2021_732_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d7a/8032574/6011047ae1b6/10654_2021_732_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d7a/8032574/6011047ae1b6/10654_2021_732_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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