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新冠疫情期间情绪敏感型股票与可持续横截面收益:对中国A股市场周内效应的分析

Mood Sensitive Stocks and Sustainable Cross-Sectional Returns During the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Analysis of Day of the Week Effect in the Chinese A-Share Market.

作者信息

Ul Ain Qurat, Azam Tamoor, Yousaf Tahir, Zafar Muhammad Zeeshan, Akhtar Yasmeen

机构信息

School of Public Finance and Taxation, Southwestern University of Finance and Taxation, Chengdu, China.

School of Management and Economics, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, China.

出版信息

Front Psychol. 2021 Feb 26;12:630941. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2021.630941. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

This study examines two stock market anomalies and provides strong evidence of the day-of-the-week effect in the Chinese A-share market during the COVID-19 pandemic. Specifically, we examined the Quality minus Junk (QMJ) strategy return on Monday and FridayQuality stocks mean portfolio deciles that earn higher excess returns. As historical evidences suggest that less distressed/safe stocks earn higher excess returns (Dichev, 1998).. The QMJ factor is similar to the division of speculative and non-speculative stocks described by Birru (2018). Our findings provide evidence that the QMJ strategy gains negative returns on Fridays for both anomalies because the junk side is sensitive to an elevated mood and, thus, performs better than the quality side of portfolios on Friday. Our findings are also consistent with the theory of investor sentiment which asserts that investors are more optimistic when their mood is elevated, and generally individual mood is better on Friday than on other days of the week. Therefore, the speculative stocks earned higher sustainable stock returns during higher volatility in Chinese market due to COVID-19. Intrinsically, new evidence emerges on an inclined strategy to invest in speculative stocks on Fridays during the COVID-19 pandemic to gain sustainable excess returns in the Chinese A-share market.

摘要

本研究考察了两种股票市场异常现象,并为新冠疫情期间中国A股市场的星期效应提供了有力证据。具体而言,我们考察了周一和周五的质量减垃圾(QMJ)策略回报。优质股票指的是平均投资组合十分位数,能获得更高的超额回报。正如历史证据所表明的,困境较轻/安全的股票能获得更高的超额回报(迪切夫,1998年)。QMJ因子类似于比鲁(2018年)所描述的投机性股票和非投机性股票的划分。我们的研究结果表明,对于这两种异常现象,QMJ策略在周五均获得负回报,因为垃圾股一方对情绪高涨较为敏感,因此在周五的表现优于投资组合中的优质股一方。我们的研究结果也与投资者情绪理论一致,该理论认为,当投资者情绪高涨时,他们会更加乐观,而一般来说,周五的个人情绪比一周中的其他日子更好。因此,在中国市场因新冠疫情导致波动性较高期间,投机性股票获得了更高的可持续股票回报。本质上,出现了新的证据,表明在新冠疫情期间存在一种倾斜策略,即在周五投资投机性股票,以在中国A股市场获得可持续的超额回报。

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