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基线中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值对心房颤动患者长期预后的影响。

Impact of Baseline Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio on Long-Term Prognosis in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation.

机构信息

Emergency and Intensive Care Center, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, 34736Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Angiology. 2021 Oct;72(9):819-828. doi: 10.1177/00033197211000495. Epub 2021 Mar 15.

Abstract

We performed a retrospective analysis involving 1269 patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) to evaluate the predictive value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) on long-term outcomes. The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and combined end point events (CEEs). Cox proportional hazards regression analysis and net reclassification improvement (NRI) analysis were performed. During a median follow-up of 3.32 years, 285 deaths and 376 CEEs occurred. With the elevation of the NLR, the incidence of all-cause mortality (2.77, 4.14, 6.12, and 12.18/100 person-years) and CEEs (4.19, 7.40, 8.03, and 15.22/100 person-years) significantly increased. Multivariate Cox analysis indicated that the highest NLR quartile was independently associated with the incidence of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.77, 95% CI: 1.19-2.65) and CEEs (HR = 1.66, 95% CI: 1.18-2.33). When the NLR was analyzed as a continuous variable, a 1-unit increment in log NLR was related to 134% increased risk of all-cause mortality and 119% increased risk of CEEs. Net reclassification improvement analysis revealed that NLR significantly improved risk stratification for all-cause death and CEEs by 15.0% and 9.6%, respectively. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio could be an independent predictor of long-term outcomes in patients with AF.

摘要

我们对 1269 例心房颤动(AF)患者进行了回顾性分析,以评估中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)对长期预后的预测价值。主要终点是全因死亡率和复合终点事件(CEE)。进行了 Cox 比例风险回归分析和净重新分类改善(NRI)分析。在中位数为 3.32 年的随访期间,发生了 285 例死亡和 376 例 CEE。随着 NLR 的升高,全因死亡率(2.77、4.14、6.12 和 12.18/100 人年)和 CEE (4.19、7.40、8.03 和 15.22/100 人年)的发生率显著增加。多变量 Cox 分析表明,最高 NLR 四分位组与全因死亡率(风险比 [HR] = 1.77,95%CI:1.19-2.65)和 CEE (HR = 1.66,95%CI:1.18-2.33)的发生率独立相关。当 NLR 作为连续变量进行分析时,log NLR 增加 1 单位与全因死亡率增加 134%和 CEE 增加 119%相关。净重新分类改善分析表明,NLR 可使全因死亡和 CEEs 的风险分层分别显著改善 15.0%和 9.6%。中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值可能是 AF 患者长期预后的独立预测因子。

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